NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed9605299652d9c2131fe5f88a6473b360e37e64a0c2a26018c648af9b8fca6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,201 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 49,213$25,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,589.9 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 52c | 30,012$15,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,604.24 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 53c | 26,389$13,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,986.2 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 48c | 22,252$10,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,544.66 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Under | 48c | 20,837$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,835.56 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 48c | 20,000$9,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,430.05 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 18,099$9,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.28 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 14,764$7,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,648.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 12,666$6,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,581.38 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 10,940$5,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.63 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 10,280$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.54 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.33 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 9,868$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131.35 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under | 49c | 9,847$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.53 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 9,500$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.1 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 9,160$4,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,712.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 48c | 9,125$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.06 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 49c | 8,125$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.87 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 7,050$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.06 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 6,154$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.08 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Under | 49c | 5,686$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.64 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 51c | 5,260$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.59 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…1552backed Under | 48c | 4,891$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…c764backed Under | 48c | 4,886$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd860…aa2cbacked Under | 48c | 4,795$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…efd3backed Under | 49c | 4,655$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 4,465$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.42 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 3,755$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.93 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 3,355$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Over | 55c | 3,167$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.82 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.31 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 46c | 2,422$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.88 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Under | 48c | 2,350$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Under | 51c | 2,216$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.29 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 2,170$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 2,159$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.18 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…fa92backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 48c | 2,051$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.22 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 48c | 2,048$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.92 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 52c | 1,926$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 1,719$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.7 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.93 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Over | 51c | 1,678$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.46 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 1,615$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.8 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,609$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.43 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…5be9backed Over | 52c | 1,300$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 48c | 1,236$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.96 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 1,172$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.65 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.64 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.75 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.65 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 52c | 1,000$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.86 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 53c | 943.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.71 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 54c | 821.17$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.43 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 816.14$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.02 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked Under | 46c | 721.89$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 53c | 638.66$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.49 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…68f2backed Under | 49c | 611.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 610.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.43 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 48c | 535.23$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.07 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 516.92$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.96 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 510.05$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.01 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Over | 52c | 499.98$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.42 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Over | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 497.4$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 483.71$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 46c | 435.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 417.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 53c | 377.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.42 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 53c | 377.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 40c | 332.62$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 315.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Over | 51c | 307$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 51c | 290$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 50c | 288.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.38 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 52c | 285.46$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 50c | 278.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 267.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 252$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Over | 51c | 209$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 51c | 207$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 206.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 49c | 204.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 201.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 52c | 192.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5this page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. GrizzliesMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.