NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a08e4abb224d0ade3546209a6a77b8e0290656ea71b4dd882fb3c19266ec19f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,825 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 44c | 13,327$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,510.61 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 6,595$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 3,987$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 50c | 3,649$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 2,505$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.19 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 55c | 912.99$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.1 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 56c | 798$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.88 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 682.03$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.08 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 548.86$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.96 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 60c | 500.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 43c | 476.14$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 429.1$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 56c | 400$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 365.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 56c | 331.2$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.83 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 57c | 326$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 45c | 320$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…158cbacked Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 191.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 26c | 191.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 183.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 56c | 139.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 124.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Under | 45c | 114.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 71c | 113.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 51c | 107.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 20c | 107.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 50c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1df…2afbbacked Under | 58c | 86.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 56c | 84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Under | 70c | 71.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca8…d137backed Over | 57c | 70.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 65.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 46c | 60.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 44c | 57.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 57c | 48.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 55c | 45.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 49c | 44.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 56c | 36.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 64c | 31.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 56c | 31.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 53c | 30.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…cdf8backed Over | 53c | 29.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 57c | 28.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…b176backed Over | 39c | 28.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Under | 45c | 27.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 26.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 57c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 20.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5this page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. GrizzliesMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.