Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x541eeae5aec94745ba1bc759a19e914e86771b457bed7baeb42cb8fb7ce01510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,502 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 23c | 42,224$9,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,532.4 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed No | 76c | 11,499$8,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 19c | 8,766$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.12 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 53c | 4,283$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.22 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 3,346$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.89 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 2,253$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 2,090$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.57 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Yes | 43c | 1,878$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 9c | 1,839$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 14cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 1,785$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.61 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 20c | 1,473$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 42c | 1,196$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed No | 12c | 1,100$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 7c | 1,100$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7537…801dbacked No | 5c | 1,100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,864.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 40c | 999.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 16c | 845.47$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…af42backed No | 61c | 785.56$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 19c | 777.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 10c | 750$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 10c | 750$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked No | 60c | 710$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed No | 17c | 700$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed No | 17c | 700$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 17cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed Yes | 11c | 501.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked No | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 499.11$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 13c | 435$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.75 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 13c | 435$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.75 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 39c | 418.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…7ff5backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,020.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 17c | 359$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…f8ffbacked Yes | 39c | 256.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…83c8backed Yes | 15c | 252.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a82…ce11backed No | 60c | 227.87$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 23c | 208.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 25c | 202.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 183.69$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 162.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Yes | 19c | 160.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 60c | 160.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 23c | 157.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 15c | 135.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 40c | 132.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed Yes | 39c | 129.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 29c | 112.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…4e76backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 40c | 73.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 23c | 64.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 60c | 62.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 69c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked No | 60c | 52.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…4bfabacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 45.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 60c | 43.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 40c | 43.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 39.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 61c | 39.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Yes | 29c | 37.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 39c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf320…bd1cbacked No | 60c | 30.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…1472backed Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 61c | 20.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f87…f2d8backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 60c | 16.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Yes | 66c | 15.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.