Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bb79fa62604566333acfb4f585740032fe990c854555604a79f605686db945b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,204 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 9,588$6,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 36c | 5,230$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 37c | 4,243$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.87 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 3,278$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.34 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,988$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.96 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 16c | 1,536$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.31 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…f117backed Yes | 36c | 1,372$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 1,354$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.07 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 1,330$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.09 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…2459backed Yes | 38c | 1,319$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 4c | 1,251$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 65c | 937.83$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.24 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 32c | 863.46$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.87 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…59c2backed Yes | 21c | 809.52$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 731.81$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 706.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 31c | 648.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 27c | 633.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 22c | 604.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 13c | 599.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…a954backed Yes | 37c | 543.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed Yes | 20c | 512.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.86 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 444.09$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…22d5backed Yes | 35c | 400.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 37c | 325.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 27c | 298.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 36c | 278.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…f8ffbacked Yes | 38c | 257.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 248.48$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 239.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 15c | 207.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…3254backed Yes | 7c | 199.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 188.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 63c | 157.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 25c | 149.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 36c | 139.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 29c | 137.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 134.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Yes | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…f3cdbacked Yes | 37c | 120.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 10c | 102.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Yes | 26c | 101.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…379ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 87.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 36c | 79.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed No | 66c | 79.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes | 33c | 78.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…66a2backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 37c | 68.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Yes | 27c | 65.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…26b8backed Yes | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 63.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 18c | 62.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 56.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 63c | 52.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…69d4backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +417.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed No | 63c | 47.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed No | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 35c | 42.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 35c | 42.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 35c | 38.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 63c | 36.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 66c | 34.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed No | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 66c | 30.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed No | 66c | 30.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6de…3db6backed No | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 65c | 21.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.