TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-03-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,204 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No70c9,588$6,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,855.913,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes36c5,230$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.851656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes37c4,243$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.878143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c3,278$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.341,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9933244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c1,988$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.961,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes16c1,536$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.313729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200d…f117backed Yes36c1,372$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c1,354$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.072,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c1,330$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.0962452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebf…2459backed Yes38c1,319$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes4c1,251$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.031127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick13cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No65c937.83$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.248752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes32c863.46$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.877328.8%21 W · 52 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf756…59c2backed Yes21c809.52$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes21c731.81$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.691,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes20c706.09$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8640744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes31c648.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes27c633.33$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.513129.8%39 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes22c604.55$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1333360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Yes13c599.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.13420.6%7 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3448…a954backed Yes37c543.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce0…d031backed Yes20c512.72$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8678248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509067.8%61 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c444.09$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8956951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16e3…22d5backed Yes35c400.86$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes37c325.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes27c298.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes36c278.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db2…ca52backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c3…f8ffbacked Yes38c257.2$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.55944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9048146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c248.48$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4563645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes27c239.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3114734.7%51 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes15c207.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8924541.6%102 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes36c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed Yes7c199.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c188.88$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1939857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes35c185.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-45.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No63c157.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.273357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Yes25c149.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.491861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.43215.6%5 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes36c139.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes29c137.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020540%82 W · 123 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511943.7%52 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes18c134.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5422221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked Yes34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c4…f3cdbacked Yes37c120.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes22c109.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes10c102.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.295442.6%23 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Yes26c101.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a0…379ebacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611539.1%45 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No64c87.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4381732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes36c79.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.673441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed No66c79.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.27922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-62.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes33c78.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.91030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254161%25 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b83…66a2backed Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes37c68.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515854.4%86 W · 72 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Yes27c65.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes35c65.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232025%5 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55cb…26b8backed Yes36c63.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes16c63.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes18c62.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No71c56.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2630647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017855.6%99 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No63c52.27$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3425850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…69d4backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+417.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed No63c47.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed No63c44.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes35c42.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.027341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes35c42.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0718353%97 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes36c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.96955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes35c38.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.271,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No63c36.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.666558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+73.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No66c34.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.847755.8%43 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No65c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.915160.9%92 W · 59 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed No66c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked No66c30.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed No66c30.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.422250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6de…3db6backed No66c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed No63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2511556.5%65 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No65c21.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56470.3%45 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.093259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.24242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.