TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,254 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over51c50,660$25,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,957.61723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over50c47,396$23,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,665.413740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under50c25,848$12,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,9245257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c17,982$8,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,991.238146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under49c12,940$6,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.195455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c11,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5004656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under50c9,980$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under50c7,977$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.111747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3b…a380backed Under50c7,054$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c6,394$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,260.885560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c5,334$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.994,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under49c4,384$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2c…d9c8backed Under50c3,598$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8209272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c3,149$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.156,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c2,757$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.85947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c2,232$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.1710246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c2,028$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.22,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under52c1,865$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.382532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under49c1,861$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.222860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7725…3d5ebacked Under49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over51c1,054$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.212,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968d…6947backed Under49c980$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over15c734$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.123926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over34c728.96$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9716232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef5c…26f2backed Over51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-56%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under49c646.05$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.493171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under48c517.44$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c516.86$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.782,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2607268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25072249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under51c473.02$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0811450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over51c313.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c302$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under48c225$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11729259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under49c204.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.81450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.955757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over51c190$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over41c162.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1822335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.511850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7811866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c150$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under48c141.69$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3437557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under49c140.74$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over15c125.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8123435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under48c115$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.835157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e80…6c17backed Over50c109.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c107.64$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.891,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c101$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5213347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4559645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504477.3%34 W · 10 L+10.2wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over51c97.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.761,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.827354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.832357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over49c87.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.063641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c86.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5417557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over18c84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under48c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over24c79.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.76240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.755254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c66.32$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8223250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Under51c61.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.274645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6275…4e76backed Over50c60.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.226958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.226158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.237554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.230554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.226058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.229057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.228255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.228359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025049.6%124 W · 126 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268858%51 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7526959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under49c40.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Under51c38.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.036847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c36.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc7…958bbacked Over51c34.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c33.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.251,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a4…9b5bbacked Under50c31.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4d…398dbacked Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.622958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.632345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.