Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6a868123e061586592ca9105887a8fe515e119eef8fb449fcc9acd9cab99cdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,366 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 3,432$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.98 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.05 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 876.51$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.89 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 45c | 667.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.98 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 57c | 654.41$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 649.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 24c | 320.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 25c | 272.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 49c | 187.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 139.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 135.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 119.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 115.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 24c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 101.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 97.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 38c | 96.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 88.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 74c | 86.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 72.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2e…f72cbacked Under | 26c | 68.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 26c | 61.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 74c | 54.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Over | 45c | 53.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 45c | 50.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 25c | 41.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 54c | 36.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +43%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Over | 45c | 31.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 31.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…03acbacked Over | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-2.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.