Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd5ae685ff01d583da7953d1d10b6da048bb313aaaa4d9326d192369488a121f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,079 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 58c | 5,700$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.02 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 42c | 4,435$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.8 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,936$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.96 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,249$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.62 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 699.06$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…5f66backed No | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed No | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 55c | 341.18$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 13c | 235$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 47c | 155.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 67c | 74.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 41.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 42c | 25.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-2.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.