TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cameron Norrieof Cameron Norrie, Alex de Minaur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$413,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,252 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Alex de Minaur38c32,741$12,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,463.172,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Cameron Norrie49c29,463$14,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,952.666,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Alex de Minaur49c15,508$7,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,602.1218337.7%69 W · 114 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cameron Norrie45c12,136$5,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,622.717,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cameron Norrie18c11,878$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,790.021,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Alex de Minaur76c11,751$8,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,885.7724557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Alex de Minaur49c11,339$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60027460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Cameron Norrie19c8,342$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,757.1115952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Cameron Norrie17c7,373$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,119.6323750.6%120 W · 117 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b7…00a0backed Alex de Minaur78c7,170$5,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,592.61323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-53.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alex de Minaur41c6,771$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.88,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Alex de Minaur65c6,432$4,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,175.1593055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Cameron Norrie18c5,906$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,842.651741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e9…390ebacked Cameron Norrie68c5,780$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.684369.8%30 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cameron Norrie19c5,084$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,135.8531332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Alex de Minaur64c5,012$3,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.7266949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Alex de Minaur61c4,918$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Cameron Norrie19c4,583$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.727343.8%32 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Alex de Minaur53c4,161$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.847850%39 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Cameron Norrie18c4,030$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.4911343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Cameron Norrie45c3,911$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.912740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Cameron Norrie20c3,822$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.8414757.1%84 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Alex de Minaur51c3,582$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.612,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cameron Norrie18c3,579$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.891,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Alex de Minaur1c3,333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Cameron Norrie19c3,326$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.091,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alex de Minaur50c3,068$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.752,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Alex de Minaur36c2,908$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0331,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cameron Norrie53c2,886$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.7181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Cameron Norrie19c2,800$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2681,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1038…fd48backed Alex de Minaur65c2,792$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Cameron Norrie19c2,686$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,18640744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Alex de Minaur67c2,679$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.9145457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Cameron Norrie47c2,553$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.194245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cameron Norrie17c2,477$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.121,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Alex de Minaur77c2,189$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.2325764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Alex de Minaur12c2,100$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6418756.1%105 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Alex de Minaur40c2,098$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.1939438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Alex de Minaur41c2,090$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.273745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cameron Norrie18c1,862$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.935955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Cameron Norrie19c1,701$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.8919835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Cameron Norrie20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20054450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Alex de Minaur41c1,438$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.3837342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Alex de Minaur42c1,424$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.9899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cameron Norrie18c1,381$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.4221338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Cameron Norrie19c1,316$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.7998240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cameron Norrie18c1,299$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.695140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Cameron Norrie19c1,214$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.7922337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alex de Minaur43c1,174$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.686,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9332…280ebacked Alex de Minaur20c1,066$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.197122.5%16 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ec…6b04backed Alex de Minaur54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cameron Norrie17c999.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.994,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Alex de Minaur4c976$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3386backed Alex de Minaur29c905.6$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.81540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Alex de Minaur39c872.09$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34211859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Alex de Minaur24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20062534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Alex de Minaur54c830.17$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45084736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Alex de Minaur25c801.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006934.8%24 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Alex de Minaur56c800$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45270652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2057…14eabacked Cameron Norrie19c710$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Alex de Minaur38c696.88$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.913134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Cameron Norrie30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6765651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Cameron Norrie19c663.86$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.737135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Cameron Norrie19c602$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.623154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alex de Minaur54c570.77$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.226,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Cameron Norrie18c555.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.551,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Cameron Norrie19c526.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.331,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Cameron Norrie17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41515724.8%39 W · 118 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Alex de Minaur53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2659452.1%49 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7765…04d9backed Alex de Minaur70c499.58$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cameron Norrie61c487.23$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.92,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b9…771dbacked Cameron Norrie21c484.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.673151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Alex de Minaur45c463$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1834744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Alex de Minaur58c446.5$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.976637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf26…319bbacked Cameron Norrie68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.183839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Alex de Minaur7c435.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0571725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alex de Minaur28c427$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.824,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Cameron Norrie37c410.6$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0995846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500c…883cbacked Alex de Minaur62c409.68$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25414860.1%89 W · 59 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Alex de Minaur4c408.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.772550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Cameron Norrie60c406.67$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6750364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cameron Norrie21c383.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.81,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed Alex de Minaur54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012150.4%61 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Cameron Norrie18c368.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8322747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Alex de Minaur73c360.8$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3822949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cameron Norrie56c354.29$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6138147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Cameron Norrie42c331.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8642743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Alex de Minaur61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Cameron Norrie20c324.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Cameron Norrie19c316$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.461,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Alex de Minaur32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Cameron Norrie64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.56256.5%35 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Alex de Minaur5c301.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.335113.7%7 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Cameron Norrie19c300$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Cameron Norrie17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24929636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Cameron Norrie45c293$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5769249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Alex de Minaur40c291$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.832050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Alex de Minaur28c287.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3832837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Alex de Minaur77c283.64$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6465652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Alex de Minaur54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.