TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$554,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,189 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 573 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x425e…21e0backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…ca81backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab8…4812backed Under50c19,708$9,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8545100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5733…f044backed Under50c18,692$9,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,3465100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62e9…0e01backed Under50c17,336$8,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,668785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ffd…3993backed Under50c17,274$8,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,637683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+68.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x985b…528ebacked Under50c16,400$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2007100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x18c7…e0c7backed Under50c16,094$8,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,047771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7576…cb8abacked Under50c15,554$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,777875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x322e…b7cdbacked Under50c15,226$7,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,613875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e13…cb2fbacked Under50c14,674$7,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,337683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9af6…dcfdbacked Under50c13,934$6,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,967771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c12,265$6,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,177.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cad…519bbacked Under50c12,094$6,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,047966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed9e…89f4backed Under50c12,018$6,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,009977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc51b…1e38backed Under50c12,004$6,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,002.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+65%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffeb…c48abacked Under50c11,810$5,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9051070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x521c…3136backed Under50c11,632$5,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,816771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44e9…04b7backed Under50c11,612$5,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,806862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f20…0aa3backed Under50c10,866$5,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,433757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b6…301ebacked Under50c10,646$5,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3231266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc31d…0db5backed Under50c10,534$5,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,267666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c10,000$5,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,070.521,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe116…735dbacked Under50c9,560$4,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd77c…6630backed Under50c9,020$4,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a54…d7c6backed Under50c8,760$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,380771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1030…9b8dbacked Under50c8,457$4,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,228.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1eb…e8c5backed Under50c8,140$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc63a…0f03backed Under50c8,110$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,055683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3252…1280backed Under50c7,560$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af4…c4f3backed Under50c7,060$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+67.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d02…881cbacked Under50c6,784$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,392977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38d3…3e0bbacked Under50c6,662$3,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,330.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf31…7b77backed Under50c6,404$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4089…f46ebacked Under50c6,008$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb1…f3acbacked Under50c5,528$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7641369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b77…72bcbacked Under50c5,468$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffb…3d68backed Under50c4,918$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac2e…8bdbbacked Under50c4,718$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c3,847$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c3,726$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.482,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94df…a64dbacked Under50c3,562$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d94…eeccbacked Under50c3,530$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94b9…9640backed Under50c3,372$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f4…4d1dbacked Under50c3,324$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c4…725bbacked Over50c3,179$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb47…517fbacked Over50c3,174$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6572…aca6backed Over50c3,158$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6e…ffa6backed Over50c3,121$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d7…02b8backed Under50c3,114$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c3,090$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…1370backed Over50c3,083$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72f…dab3backed Over50c3,060$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a6…ad91backed Over50c3,048$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1609…d135backed Over50c3,027$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd34…2f11backed Over50c3,026$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c61…f11bbacked Over50c3,021$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27a…7005backed Under50c3,014$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ee…7a98backed Over50c3,004$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeacb…fa49backed Over50c3,003$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9322752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920c…4af5backed Under50c2,966$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd4…b767backed Under50c2,946$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6528…2498backed Under50c2,874$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4371060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…dcb9backed Under50c2,652$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bf…f0ccbacked Under50c2,636$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x999f…efa0backed Under50c2,446$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…b76bbacked Under50c2,424$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2121060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5b…5083backed Over50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9476…f532backed Over50c2,398$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1198…1e6cbacked Over50c2,397$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e5…4d98backed Over50c2,395$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc4…6f8fbacked Over50c2,395$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e9…a7a8backed Over50c2,390$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x840d…43f0backed Over50c2,389$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x970f…b56abacked Over50c2,389$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cec…c283backed Over50c2,387$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9423…8aebbacked Over50c2,384$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2516…97a5backed Over50c2,384$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8c…dd85backed Over50c2,382$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e9…fbd7backed Over50c2,382$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c7…3e53backed Over50c2,381$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e9…9be1backed Over50c2,379$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c5…0be0backed Over50c2,379$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…32cbbacked Over50c2,378$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9c…b274backed Over50c2,368$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a9…90e1backed Over50c2,367$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…8e63backed Over50c2,367$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f1…58bfbacked Over50c2,365$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a06…c49bbacked Over50c2,364$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x549d…fbf3backed Over50c2,364$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7e…c040backed Over50c2,364$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43fa…f6e4backed Over50c2,363$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x669e…38e2backed Over50c2,362$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…9a3cbacked Over50c2,358$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a1…1cc9backed Over50c2,356$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe97c…0e1cbacked Under50c2,354$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1771070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60af…d0f1backed Over50c2,349$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6735…6719backed Over50c2,348$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57c…377dbacked Over50c2,347$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.