TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Hawks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$689,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,926 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hawks52c275,458$143,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,069.9387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks52c224,205$116,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,586.571,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Nets48c150,000$72,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Nets48c150,000$72,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,999.9926253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nets48c92,264$44,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,977.152,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nets48c80,000$38,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,599.9966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Hawks52c60,000$31,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,196.3223147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Nets48c20,719$9,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,773.8859347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets48c12,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hawks52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Nets49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,100.2258449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets49c9,500$4,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8651,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Nets49c8,800$4,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,488.6114245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Nets47c6,184$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,277.3732846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks53c6,101$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.334,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Hawks52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nets48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hawks52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Hawks52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks51c5,000$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.51,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Nets48c4,909$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.9539842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Hawks52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Nets48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nets51c3,929$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.361,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets49c3,426$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Nets48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.1614753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ce…e97dbacked Nets51c3,105$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Nets48c3,016$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.0913563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf0b8…daf1backed Hawks49c2,566$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2520…7a0ebacked Hawks49c2,520$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd2…6028backed Hawks49c2,488$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d3…4c49backed Nets51c2,465$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c81…8db0backed Nets51c2,333$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78eb…06d9backed Nets51c2,105$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5db…ace4backed Hawks49c2,020$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Hawks52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0126637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61a4…5e5abacked Hawks49c1,863$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c4…d09fbacked Hawks49c1,705$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb990…c28ebacked Nets51c1,699$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks54c1,461$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8de…7f99backed Nets51c1,455$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Hawks49c1,436$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.5212045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Hawks52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Nets50c1,000$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50162948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Hawks55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Nets48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Hawks52c961.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets50c828$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Nets49c800$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.891050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets46c761.11$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.422,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks50c663.16$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Nets48c661.76$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.56746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hawks51c588.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Nets48c568.97$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.1414046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks49c519.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Hawks50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Nets51c478.47$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.514244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d44…a304backed Hawks52c416$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.321154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Nets49c414.85$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.996055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Nets48c413.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4932347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Hawks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Nets48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20822746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Nets48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20828245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Hawks52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Hawks52c384.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Nets49c368.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0924946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Nets57c352.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9911142.3%47 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Nets49c345.97$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1251438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Nets40c345.49$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7624138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18ca…6413backed Hawks52c323.08$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Nets49c321.47$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4711855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Nets49c317.1$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.118055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Nets49c315.17$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.059455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Hawks52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15618143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Nets50c273.61$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0810235.3%36 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Hawks52c257$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6423946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe63d…0545backed Nets49c255.91$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.774560%27 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Nets49c255.62$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.623661.1%22 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Nets49c250$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7553945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Hawks52c240.38$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12533748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Nets48c224.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9926756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Nets50c212.47$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4713751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nets49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Hawks50c200.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Hawks51c196.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015551.6%80 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Hawks52c192.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf875…814dbacked Hawks52c192.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hawks47c187.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.861,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks51c176$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.763,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Nets50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1811451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Nets49c164.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0318250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Nets49c163.6$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.610656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf823…6b9dbacked Hawks49c162$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…5dbebacked Hawks49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Nets49c159.51$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5115253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Nets51c157.52$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5215453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Hawks50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7715446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Nets49c150$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6543544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Nets48c149.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9948852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.