NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d0770a1ae54ab63b1e8bedca056e4403877b8f5b9880ac73fee9720d1883cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Hawks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,931 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nets | 44c | 10,321$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,763.51 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Hawks | 57c | 10,300$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,840.02 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nets | 42c | 6,055$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.76 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 57c | 3,022$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 57c | 1,678$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 57c | 1,386$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Hawks | 58c | 862.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…3953backed Hawks | 59c | 827.12$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Nets | 43c | 800.22$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.42 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nets | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Nets | 42c | 625.61$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.96 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Hawks | 50c | 543.02$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.1 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Hawks | 57c | 513.71$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Hawks | 53c | 499.84$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nets | 58c | 489.82$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.02 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nets | 47c | 489.2$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Hawks | 60c | 333.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Nets | 43c | 329.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.01 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hawks | 58c | 315$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Hawks | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Nets | 43c | 292$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 58c | 233.47$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 44c | 218.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Hawks | 57c | 210.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Hawks | 52c | 192.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Hawks | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6601…1c14backed Nets | 44c | 175$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Nets | 43c | 165$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks | 52c | 148.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 53c | 135.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Nets | 45c | 109.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Hawks | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Hawks | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Nets | 42c | 90.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Nets | 44c | 89.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Hawks | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Hawks | 59c | 84.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Nets | 42c | 83.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Hawks | 59c | 73.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…3be7backed Hawks | 57c | 72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Hawks | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nets | 39c | 69.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Nets | 49c | 58.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Hawks | 44c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Hawks | 58c | 49.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Hawks | 56c | 47.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…128ebacked Hawks | 59c | 45.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Nets | 45c | 44.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks | 58c | 44.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…8944backed Hawks | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Hawks | 60c | 41.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nets | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Hawks | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…bdbbbacked Hawks | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Nets | 51c | 35.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Hawks | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Nets | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 52c | 25.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Nets | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Hawks | 58c | 24.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 45c | 24.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…a542backed Hawks | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Hawks | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Nets won
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Nets won
- Corey Kispert: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Nets vs. HawksHawks won
- Nets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 210.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-14.5)Nets won
- Spread: Hawks (-15.5)Nets won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Nets won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Nets won
- Spread: Hawks (-18.5)Nets won
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.