NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe6c16951b544f0f69cd900248d336992750d21451cd4907e334c60884778dd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,457 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flyers | 33c | 173,277$56,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,348.28 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 34c | 60,000$20,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,602.36 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild | 67c | 52,489$35,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,167.72 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 67c | 36,449$24,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,409.64 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wild | 66c | 36,262$23,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,932.97 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wild | 67c | 36,043$24,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,146.48 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Wild | 66c | 22,080$14,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,465.99 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 67c | 11,248$7,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,535.63 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wild | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Wild | 66c | 10,000$6,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,596.6 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Flyers | 37c | 7,961$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Wild | 67c | 7,500$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flyers | 43c | 7,103$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.21 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Wild | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.9 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wild | 66c | 5,960$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.09 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Wild | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Wild | 67c | 3,733$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers | 40c | 3,689$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.79 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers | 34c | 3,675$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.77 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Wild | 67c | 3,333$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.11 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Flyers | 34c | 3,242$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.23 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Wild | 1c | 3,235$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 46c | 3,215$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Wild | 68c | 3,163$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 67c | 2,927$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.51 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Flyers | 33c | 2,867$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.28 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Wild | 68c | 2,500$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.55 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flyers | 33c | 2,452$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.51 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Wild | 52c | 2,304$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild | 67c | 2,222$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.84 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Wild | 67c | 2,201$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flyers | 33c | 2,200$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.56 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Wild | 62c | 2,078$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.86 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wild | 61c | 1,939$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.54 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Flyers | 33c | 1,808$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.57 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 66c | 1,808$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.62 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Flyers | 44c | 1,769$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.93 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flyers | 33c | 1,571$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.44 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…2a1bbacked Wild | 68c | 1,550$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b0…df60backed Wild | 67c | 1,519$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wild | 67c | 1,505$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.53 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Wild | 67c | 1,500$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Wild | 66c | 1,496$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.52 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Wild | 66c | 1,455$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4303…9f4cbacked Wild | 45c | 1,450$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Wild | 68c | 1,412$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.28 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wild | 44c | 1,391$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.54 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Wild | 57c | 1,326$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.72 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Wild | 1c | 1,300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 67c | 1,204$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Wild | 67c | 1,203$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.72 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 64c | 1,203$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.78 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wild | 66c | 1,131$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.46 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Wild | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…0b40backed Flyers | 32c | 1,050$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wild | 67c | 1,021$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.24 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wild | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Wild | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Flyers | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flyers | 51c | 993.22$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.07 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Wild | 60c | 982.58$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.13 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Wild | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 34c | 884.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.95 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wild | 66c | 868$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.88 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers | 45c | 858.23$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.06 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Wild | 58c | 799.12$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.93 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Wild | 66c | 750$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Wild | 67c | 747.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Wild | 67c | 717.95$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.09 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Flyers | 50c | 700.1$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.15 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Flyers | 16c | 698.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.3 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Flyers | 14c | 694.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Wild | 67c | 627.8$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Flyers | 54c | 609.07$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.25 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked Wild | 67c | 601.27$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.85 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Wild | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Wild | 67c | 597.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Flyers | 34c | 589.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.97 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Flyers | 34c | 588$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.67 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…014ebacked Wild | 66c | 580.35$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…0613backed Wild | 54c | 557.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.69 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Wild | 67c | 530.64$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Wild | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wild | 67c | 512.88$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.37 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Wild | 56c | 504.24$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.06 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Wild | 66c | 502$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.25 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…4857backed Wild | 57c | 500$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.75 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Flyers | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32a…e349backed Flyers | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wild | 52c | 441$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.91 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…8f56backed Wild | 67c | 428.3$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.53 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Flyers | 23c | 401.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Flyers | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…7519backed Wild | 67c | 391.96$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Flyers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Wild | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…3456backed Wild | 66c | 382.26$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.29 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd63…42d8backed Flyers | 32c | 378.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Wildthis page
- Flyers vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.