TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,340 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under40c74,735$30,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,628.425558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c45,704$18,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,518.715,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over59c20,805$12,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,344.0343546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed Over0c12,022$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.93120%0 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over61c7,290$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.6866047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over60c6,370$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.132,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over56c3,591$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over49c2,292$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.0918940.2%76 W · 113 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over67c2,009$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.494856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Over61c1,484$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under39c1,229$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.9722333.2%74 W · 149 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under53c1,171$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over52c1,050$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.984153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Over59c999.99$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over62c999.97$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.982638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c969.16$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.0864842%272 W · 376 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over55c958.06$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.9237149.6%184 W · 187 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008124.7%20 W · 61 L-10.8wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over63c857.14$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under53c765.81$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.812055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over69c723.52$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.232343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over59c680.13$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over66c666.32$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.772263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over63c650.95$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41013662.5%85 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over62c585.95$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.0921658.8%127 W · 89 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Under39c549.51$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over59c534$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.066342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over50c508.14$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.874522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over63c492.31$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31031661.7%195 W · 121 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Over3c472.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.511811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-64.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over54c457.41$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24717850.6%90 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under39c379.85$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.631,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c368.97$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.951,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Under16c334.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.928619.8%17 W · 69 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Over58c332.49$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026653.4%142 W · 124 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over61c302.23$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3637341.6%155 W · 218 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x635f…6be6backed Over67c273.13$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012564%80 W · 45 L+13.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over56c248.29$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.042544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under28c206.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2213432.1%43 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1148558.8%50 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over61c196.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203941%16 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over56c196.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over46c189.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.496238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705c…b027backed Over61c180.47$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c175.32$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.257,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over71c170.18$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.633858.6%198 W · 140 L+30.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under40c169.66$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5229052.4%152 W · 138 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over59c166.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f1…5fd6backed Over57c163.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932025%5 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Under47c162.91$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016750.9%85 W · 82 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x289c…79bcbacked Over61c158.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.441553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked Over49c147.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…1c79backed Under50c140.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.311471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Over61c136.59$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.822552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under42c135.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.718757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed Over29c134.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.261850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over75c133.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.223568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021767.7%147 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under38c124.61$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.262040%8 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Over57c124.37$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.893253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Under46c116.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.511850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over58c104.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.342254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6423061.3%141 W · 89 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5767050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Over57c99.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c99.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9751356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506238.7%24 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1f3…229fbacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8458…b67abacked Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over49c81.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.172433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032051.9%166 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039850%199 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under41c72.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.881,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under40c71.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.362,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over58c69.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.949256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc4c…afcebacked Over62c69.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Under67c65.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over46c60.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810345.6%47 W · 56 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over62c59.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1912361%75 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x720c…662ebacked Over76c58.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Under37c57.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over59c57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6622542.7%96 W · 129 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over54c56.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.768253.7%44 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over63c55.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3531860.4%192 W · 126 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over59c54.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.192339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over56c54.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5523256.9%132 W · 100 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under36c53.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1611553%61 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308055%44 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013151.1%67 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993a…09fcbacked Over57c47.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.881643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+137.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over51c45.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.