Other European Leagues · resolved market

Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x449ea451e0be8426cfd81e868841095d5a9af39229b2da08bc242a6fd68b02bd

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,851 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	27c	3,223$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,363.41	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	45c	2,332$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,293.21	2,334	46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	50c	2,222$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7776…be8dbacked Yes	73c	2,000$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	29c	1,284$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.31	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes	57c	1,281$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.8	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed No	13c	1,154$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.01	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-49%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Yes	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5e…3c51backed Yes	54c	907.6$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	26c	842.12$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.95	2,640	35.7%942 W · 1,698 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Yes	78c	735.98$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.31	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	50c	637.24$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.62	1,401	29.2%409 W · 992 L	-32.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3b…b190backed Yes	59c	509.41$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0622…cbc0backed No	44c	471.71$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.16	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No	41c	428$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.52	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed No	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.31per pick	47cpaid	+62.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	47c	370.31$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.97	1,467	48%704 W · 763 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb97…40dbbacked Yes	57c	351.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes	57c	263.16$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	266	53.4%142 W · 124 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No	48c	250.89$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.89	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	42c	250$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.25	1,711	48.3%827 W · 884 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Yes	79c	249.76$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.31	88	73.9%65 W · 23 L	+8.0wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	43c	249.44$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.6	1,107	47.7%528 W · 579 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.7	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	48c	187.38$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.36	648	42%272 W · 376 L	-12.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes	55c	182.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No	41c	179.99$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.04	423	47.8%202 W · 221 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No	19c	167.42$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.15	134	32.1%43 W · 91 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+30%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes	60c	166.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes	51c	156.86$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	80	55%44 W · 36 L	+6.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No	38c	143.06$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89	223	33.2%74 W · 149 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked No	41c	135$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.65	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed3…983fbacked Yes	56c	125.61$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.34	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…1618backed Yes	56c	118.31$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes	27c	116.38$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.07	227	27.8%63 W · 164 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…9278backed Yes	56c	113.92$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a6…f2e3backed Yes	56c	113.87$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.77	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Yes	51c	105.26$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.68	1,222	51%623 W · 599 L	-10.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…62bfbacked No	49c	105.26$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.68	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No	48c	105$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.6	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes	50c	102$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeddc…086dbacked Yes	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Yes	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	43c	98.33$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.98	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Yes	79c	92.08$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.44	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.29per pick	59cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes	74c	90$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No	12c	90$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked No	17c	88.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.79	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+107.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a63…9664backed Yes	56c	75.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes	32c	75.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.05	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes	50c	69.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	82	41.5%34 W · 48 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No	34c	67.56$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.5	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes	38c	53.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccac…022bbacked Yes	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84be…e47fbacked No	23c	52.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.77per pick	23cpaid	+334.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Yes	77c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	123	61%75 W · 48 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993a…09fcbacked Yes	54c	49.78$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+137.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	26c	47.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2c…f012backed Yes	69c	45.11$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa2…ba3ebacked Yes	60c	41.4$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.94	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa72b…0247backed Yes	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes	52c	40.44$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.15	232	56.9%132 W · 100 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes	34c	37.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.68	60	25%15 W · 45 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	43c	35$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.91	2,543	52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L	+18.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes	56c	32$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked No	42c	31.33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.19	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes	38c	29.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b9c…6dacbacked Yes	70c	28.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x720c…662ebacked Yes	51c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Yes	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No	39c	26.12$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.91	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	24cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes	53c	26.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	435	46.7%203 W · 232 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes	62c	25.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.45	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes	52c	24.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Yes	58c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes	60c	21.84$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Yes	49c	21.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa738…ddedbacked Yes	55c	19.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes	79c	12.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event