Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2644f69543421dee239afd606f557a53d7dd92b43b592d67fbdfb1c06df70cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,268 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 63c | 95,860$60,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,113.55 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 36c | 34,701$12,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,580.91 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 57c | 13,660$7,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,780.98 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 36c | 13,503$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865.01 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 8,821$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 36c | 5,850$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Over | 37c | 5,140$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Over | 2c | 4,130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 3,838$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 2,317$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.95 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 1,500$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.34 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…116abacked Over | 61c | 1,185$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 46c | 1,147$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.8 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…7fbfbacked Over | 61c | 1,140$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Over | 41c | 544.56$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 36c | 525.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.69 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 438.95$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.76 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Over | 33c | 421$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Over | 37c | 388.76$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 36c | 379$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 51c | 336.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Over | 29c | 330$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 61c | 329.03$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 60c | 273.09$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1e…9d4cbacked Over | 60c | 249.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 62c | 246.34$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 61c | 222.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 199.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 198.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 57c | 185.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 33c | 184.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 37c | 180.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…91d6backed Over | 62c | 173.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Over | 36c | 119$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Over | 38c | 116.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 40c | 113.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 62c | 111.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 40c | 110.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 66c | 99.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Under | 47c | 92.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 29c | 86.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 41c | 82.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 60c | 80.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 65c | 75.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…71e6backed Over | 38c | 65.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Over | 38c | 62.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 37c | 60.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 38c | 52.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 25c | 52.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 58c | 50.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Over | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…d5e7backed Over | 38c | 47.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Over | 38c | 46.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 65c | 45.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed Under | 63c | 45.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 34c | 42.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 55c | 42.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Over | 38c | 38.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Over | 60c | 36.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 60c | 34.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 34c | 30.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 55c | 29.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.