Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Topo (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ffa0bb2a17bfe3276d7e2f5160c49b5d12af82f6d5e04af257b087a3803e043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bergsof Bergs, Topo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48d1…beddbacked Topo | 46c | 788.59$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Topo | 44c | 699.24$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.61 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Topo | 20c | 560.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Topo | 48c | 317.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Bergs | 58c | 235.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Bergs | 57c | 199.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Bergs | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Bergs | 55c | 176.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Topo | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Bergs | 51c | 104.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…7b3ebacked Bergs | 56c | 103.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Bergs | 51c | 87.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Bergs | 59c | 84.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Topo | 43c | 78.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Bergs | 51c | 74.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Topo | 43c | 73.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Topo | 47c | 61.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Bergs | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Bergs | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Bergs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…7762backed Bergs | 51c | 42.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Topo | 44c | 40.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Topo | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Topo | 48c | 38.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Bergs | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bergs | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Bergs | 51c | 37.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Bergs | 52c | 35.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Topo | 43c | 31.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Topo | 43c | 30.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Bergs | 63c | 29.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bergs | 50c | 29.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Bergs | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Topo (+1.5)this page
- BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko TopoZizou Bergs won
- Zizou Bergs vs. Marko Topo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.