TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$367,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over50c190,661$95,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,741.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Under49c94,655$46,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,273.822556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,6001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c23,053$11,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,757.2352243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under49c20,000$9,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,198.182955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.995259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,649.961643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c14,302$7,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,262.7938247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under51c13,725$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,725.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c13,125$6,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,506.853,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under51c11,765$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,764.713461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c10,456$5,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,335.222,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over51c7,843$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003959%23 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c5,711$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.6111242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Under51c5,075$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under51c4,049$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.021855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a0…e723backed Over51c3,884$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c3,100$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.999954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under50c3,050$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5251163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+121.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c2,701$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.5833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c2,392$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2203455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Under49c2,158$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.581050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c1,959$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.562236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c1,869$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.9891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under51c1,644$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.377753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc8…9069backed Under50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over49c1,377$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.3343344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over50c1,370$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.1810960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over51c1,288$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.882867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under50c1,265$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.518639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over49c1,160$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.625545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over52c1,062$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.231225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under50c1,000$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.75234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Over50c987.3$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.652958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under50c650.68$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.347143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under45c644.44$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.446363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c620.5$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.3863857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over73c616.1$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Over51c598.04$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over67c597.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…f285backed Over47c593.97$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f0…c0f5backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c576.27$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.955545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25516242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.771050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under51c425.33$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c418.32$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.858355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe6b…b068backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe76…ee91backed Over52c386.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c349$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.513149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under49c334.69$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6911449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb38…1659backed Over51c280$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under34c279.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1867364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1258444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed Under50c239.94$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Over51c236.49$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.611752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c230.15$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.078250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over51c205.78$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.954663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over51c179.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.416056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under48c161.53$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over49c154.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.92035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under51c143.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.326950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under48c128$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.564067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under29c111$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8178344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Over23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Under51c107.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.681758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Under42c107.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.14933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7691…7af7backed Under32c106.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21fb…e2ddbacked Over55c101.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under50c101$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.53231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c6…20f2backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.