TailMyPicks
Market

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15ac…f3babacked Over0c186,000$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db9…c73bbacked Over69c10,055$6,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,907.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,499.97580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+101%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under25c7,036$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,295.4438247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over75c2,866$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.093,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over76c2,640$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.42867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over75c2,621$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.3843344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over80c2,307$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.394573.3%33 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over76c1,372$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.9984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under12c1,250$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.25433.3%18 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c1,204$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.6870639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c1,100$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.632,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over76c1,026$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.7611242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Over76c999.99$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.992958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Under24c999.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.993148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Under26c980.77$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.77147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-72.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under26c934.55$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.18639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under24c735.16$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.7221925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Over71c700$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over74c516.88$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.4912955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over35c465.71$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1632429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over76c252.63$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-30.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under25c225.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.813135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+66.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+91.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over76c197.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504652.2%24 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under28c195.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.37753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under25c181.8$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3511643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over76c150.07$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11417249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over34c148.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7119240.1%77 W · 115 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a60…4ddfbacked Over75c145.51$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over80c143$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over75c134.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a01…548ebacked Over76c133.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over74c106.78$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.272035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over74c101.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514741.5%61 W · 86 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Over76c97.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.82157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0d…2011backed Over75c94.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over76c93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over34c89.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under27c86.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.323652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under16c80.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1235944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…c557backed Under25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick23cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f4…ca1bbacked Over47c73.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under35c71.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.064663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over75c70.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0592050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over75c68.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.426056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over30c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17d7…6a05backed Over76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Under25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under24c56.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9133349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd99b…6a26backed Over75c52.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick73cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22f…892dbacked Over56c50.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.62748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over72c49.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.656950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Over75c48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ee…4763backed Under45c43.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Over76c41.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.244580%36 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under26c40.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.722,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1580%0 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4555…7209backed Over79c31.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over75c30.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.628355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over75c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over37c29.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed5…869abacked Over76c26.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over77c26.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202070%14 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Over79c25.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb152…ef4cbacked Over75c23.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.482161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Over62c22.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.648239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.44860.4%29 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed Over76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa439…5802backed Over74c19.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over75c19.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.711,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over75c17.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3755545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5639…7246backed Over76c15.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x746f…8dc7backed Over80c14.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.75862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.