TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,972 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No36c25,206$9,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,131.2351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes64c15,625$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00011349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c10,804$4,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,765.556,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes64c10,350$6,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,612.7315534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c7,072$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.812,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b7…cef9backed Yes62c3,999$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No36c3,991$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.3416651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes50c2,128$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.952138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Yes64c1,900$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-76.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes57c1,739$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…6bb7backed Yes60c1,632$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes63c1,605$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.169055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Yes69c1,515$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.592245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes56c1,441$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No34c1,432$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.581,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No37c1,300$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.971643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes64c1,262$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.4230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No37c1,186$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.41,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked No27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.112352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a5…cb58backed Yes60c1,070$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes64c968.03$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.543141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8123…9041backed Yes64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No33c698.2$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.6322335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes47c669.29$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0341260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes60c665.24$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.161143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No36c575.33$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.2152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes63c552.62$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32012746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes59c494.95$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.023959%23 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes41c430.89$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.734,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2921533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes73c362.19$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2649156%51 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No35c326.5$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.796443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e21…a1b7backed Yes63c325.4$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes63c315$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2511828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa114…fdadbacked Yes64c312.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.92222.7%5 W · 17 L-5.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-49.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0c…6e84backed No68c293.24$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Yes63c281.27$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.23943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2712139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked No38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1617048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1356857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc176…6685backed Yes63c236.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Yes64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Yes64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes64c228.27$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2912741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3001…4ac2backed Yes45c224.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c2…a53dbacked Yes55c209.64$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.231650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x353f…bdd4backed Yes65c201.38$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes41c200$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5076…e15dbacked Yes80c199$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.21855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No36c197.86$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.091,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849d…2e75backed Yes43c169.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1f…1b83backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.39per pick47cpaid-83.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes64c160$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Yes62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes64c159.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.796558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005356.6%30 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf85…03f9backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005250%26 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes65c154.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa3…2b7fbacked Yes64c153.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Yes64c152.66$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.73148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes53c143.87$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes64c141.66$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.665646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes52c140.85$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5940821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No35c139.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.941,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009541.1%39 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.586253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed No38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+83.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No35c130.16$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6110949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9360…b9c7backed Yes64c130.01$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.852948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes65c128.92$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0431746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No37c122.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9389152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No38c119.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0349753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes64c117.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes64c109.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705362.3%33 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No37c108.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4812136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x686e…9dc3backed No19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+75.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes72c101.78$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.358154.3%44 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…88e8backed Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Yes64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648949.4%44 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Yes63c95.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No60c93.87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Yes64c93.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.571850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No35c93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.171,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…b74fbacked Yes43c92.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes64c86.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556344.4%28 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes63c81.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.537844.9%35 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9722…8758backed Yes65c80$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x306f…01c7backed Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked No37c75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.252955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.