Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc320c613623607a1b4b56ece4b3e9d16df26f6660b3043abe2514b56ea1873d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,964 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 19,596$9,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,543.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 66c | 15,307$10,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,035.22 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 66c | 12,719$8,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,355.23 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 58c | 11,069$6,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,420.21 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 34c | 11,035$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,282.78 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 34c | 10,800$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,091.15 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 7,299$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750.95 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 36c | 3,239$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 2,401$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 66c | 2,252$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.32 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 34c | 2,055$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.71 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 57c | 1,600$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.02 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 43c | 1,431$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.67 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…f02abacked Over | 58c | 1,412$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 65c | 880.19$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 57c | 876.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.53 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 34c | 873.49$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.62 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 43c | 799.98$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 63c | 630.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 589.2$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.31 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 578.65$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 35c | 524.96$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.28 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…6be6backed Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 60c | 430$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 35c | 403$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 36c | 390$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 386.31$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.88 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 65c | 386.29$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 63c | 372.65$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.32 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 36c | 305.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 36c | 299.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 63c | 299.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 289.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.02 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under | 38c | 281.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 57c | 263.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 239.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.28 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Over | 66c | 228.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c3…3a41backed Under | 37c | 220.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 34c | 213.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Under | 36c | 209.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…66f7backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 44c | 203.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 36c | 195$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 54c | 185.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…776fbacked Over | 17c | 175.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…a53dbacked Over | 53c | 168.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Under | 74c | 150.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 66c | 148.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…d09cbacked Over | 69c | 144.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 31c | 135.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 34c | 131.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 18c | 129.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 36c | 128.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 56c | 126.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea67…5839backed Over | 66c | 107.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 35c | 104.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 53c | 97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 95.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 56c | 93.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…5083backed Over | 62c | 82.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…dfe0backed Under | 35c | 71.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 74c | 68.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 32c | 65.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 63.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 63c | 63.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…9664backed Over | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 36c | 62.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over | 65c | 61.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 41c | 59.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…5860backed Over | 68c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Over | 64c | 57.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 73cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92b7…e10abacked Over | 55c | 54.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 58c | 53.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…9e7cbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.