NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47e03cf2dca9d29fc78733c9556e909386917e4fcaf3957105d25cbb5efd7418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nets | 49c | 34,686$17,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,025.17 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Spurs | 51c | 29,848$15,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,625.75 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nets | 49c | 9,332$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.79 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Spurs | 50c | 9,199$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,564.55 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nets | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 52c | 4,000$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.93 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 51c | 3,320$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 49c | 1,700$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.13 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Spurs | 51c | 1,660$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.4 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Spurs | 52c | 1,654$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.85 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,333$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.45 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 45c | 1,261$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Spurs | 54c | 1,172$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.67 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Spurs | 51c | 690$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.1 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Nets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Spurs | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.23 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 48c | 513.46$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.46 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x688c…2482backed Spurs | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs | 65c | 478.63$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 51c | 438.42$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Spurs | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Spurs | 53c | 350$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Spurs | 51c | 310.9$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Nets | 50c | 264.7$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Spurs | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 47c | 225.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Spurs | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nets | 48c | 134.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Spurs | 61c | 121.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Spurs | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Spurs | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Spurs | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Nets | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Spurs | 51c | 96.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets | 49c | 94.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 52c | 88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…7d67backed Spurs | 52c | 80.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Spurs | 50c | 73.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 75c | 69.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b68dbacked Spurs | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Nets | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nets | 46c | 65.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Nets | 50c | 60.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…0635backed Spurs | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Spurs | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets | 41c | 55.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Spurs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Nets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Spurs | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nets | 33c | 47.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed Spurs | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Spurs | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Spurs | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Nets | 49c | 34.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8875…be3fbacked Spurs | 65c | 27.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed Spurs | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Nets | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…f0b1backed Spurs | 51c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Spurs | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d9…5136backed Nets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…59a6backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Nets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Spurs | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)this page
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. NetsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Nets: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.