TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c14,682$7,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,174.696,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c4,348$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.842,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Yes52c3,849$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes56c3,702$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.734641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c3,030$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.6985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes42c2,393$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.183630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c1,074$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.034,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x363e…b78bbacked Yes55c1,059$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Yes55c947.75$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes37c910$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.73010%3 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4766…0286backed Yes54c831.05$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No54c719.95$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.1919259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes55c636.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed No49c613.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.641643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3129150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No45c553.53$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes55c546.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick66cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes36c496.86$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes53c469.31$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes56c453.02$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5413132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes44c435.87$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.74134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed No46c435$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23528242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd697…f0c5backed No47c355.69$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ab…c57dbacked Yes54c339.65$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes54c329.44$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.96344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b0d…6bb4backed Yes55c309.09$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No46c299.31$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.241,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No60c289.64$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1419455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes54c281.16$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.832853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes48c264.58$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12723632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Yes26c251.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No45c250.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked No52c232$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.364942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No45c219.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.982259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Yes49c199.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9914845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes55c196.36$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes54c186.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010547.6%50 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes55c183.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes41c180$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.341160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes55c163.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8337…e6b9backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed No54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8118052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aaf…530dbacked Yes41c144.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605068%34 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6100…7827backed Yes51c136.36$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3397…3f53backed Yes41c123.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked No55c121.04$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.031457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes55c118.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6516233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes55c118.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656344.4%28 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked No52c116$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.684951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes52c115$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.810554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No54c114.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.731,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes55c114.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6318124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes54c108$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3222458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes53c104.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506647%31 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes25c100.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc93…dad0backed Yes47c96.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes49c92.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4528633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac0…aa8ebacked Yes54c92.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed No58c91.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.38933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes56c88.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3913954%75 W · 64 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes46c85.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.515230.8%16 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c1c…772ebacked Yes55c85.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.951,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4455254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed54…b090backed Yes52c79.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.61560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Yes53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes53c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.759641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc165…61a9backed Yes55c74.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes55c71.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.217055.7%39 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Yes54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed No62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.525459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c1…1bebbacked Yes20c61.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1314463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes54c59.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.114648.6%71 W · 75 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes36c58.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.172568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.846258.1%36 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7980…b49abacked Yes49c56.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307945.6%36 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010255.9%57 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Yes55c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.253438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd002…4db4backed Yes55c54.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5730…891ebacked Yes55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.