TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c81,835$29,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,182.436,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Over59c58,825$34,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,706.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under41c15,470$6,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,127.3215049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c11,492$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,978.732,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a75…dc9abacked Over75c6,151$4,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,613.25475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555f…9525backed Over78c6,115$4,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,748.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under22c5,619$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,382.651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over78c5,128$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over77c3,953$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.6285748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over78c3,847$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.663360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over56c3,558$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c3,168$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.64,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over50c3,066$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.6946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over78c2,560$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.1914166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over59c2,351$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.072846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over61c2,304$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.726041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0515…64cdbacked Over78c2,004$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.994938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Over77c1,717$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over60c1,670$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.993953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Over78c1,623$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.589646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under37c1,464$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.9574256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over59c1,362$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.691,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…0c46backed Over78c1,029$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Over56c999.98$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.991030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under22c999.92$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.936759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over29c857.76$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.932,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over60c834.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over55c829.09$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4561145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8280…e451backed Over77c779.22$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600520%1 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick71cpaid-74%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over69c728.89$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.931040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under41c718.78$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.1732049.1%157 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Over78c694.1$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-20.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xff55…9334backed Over78c640.69$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over78c607.27$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.672475%18 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under23c561.54$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.613132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under52c540.29$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over59c525.58$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.094645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over68c514.71$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Under22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3906338.1%24 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x86fc…f4b0backed Over4c500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1980%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Over77c499.82$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.311136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick66cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Under63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1930059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over75c475.67$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.272853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Over78c472.06$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.211442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over79c443.1$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under29c418.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.8420425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over78c385$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.451353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5af…5d38backed Over78c384.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63a…e53abacked Over75c349.5$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over75c332.38$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over60c331.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over76c320.68$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5910569.5%73 W · 32 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over78c320.51$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504271.4%30 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over58c306.98$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.78050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over78c300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2346953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over52c288.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb07…5c02backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b91…f6bebacked Over80c270$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under19c269.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.137342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over78c250$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Under41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71ad…6badbacked Over78c243.59$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c240$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11916731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over67c222.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over68c220.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked Over72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb6…b350backed Over79c204.1$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.831457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.183839.5%15 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15423353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over63c196.74$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1741760.2%251 W · 166 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under30c194.44$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5349753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over77c192.35$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0322458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over78c192.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under22c192.31$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under22c176.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025750.2%129 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Under21c173.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.171457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee4…ace2backed Over62c172$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1093…d547backed Under62c170.87$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.871457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Over78c166.54$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.95050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under37c164.51$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2542658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over51c158.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0528633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over60c158$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.82020%4 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-68%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xbbaf…842ebacked Over56c157.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.