Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc72d2d8ae020fd7da6d5c0a5baa2ba7d37e1a3543478335d8c0eacc9c349553f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 81,835$29,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,182.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 59c | 58,825$34,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,706.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 41c | 15,470$6,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,127.32 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 11,492$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,978.73 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…dc9abacked Over | 75c | 6,151$4,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,613.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…9525backed Over | 78c | 6,115$4,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,748.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 22c | 5,619$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.6 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 78c | 5,128$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 77c | 3,953$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.62 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 78c | 3,847$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.66 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 56c | 3,558$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 3,168$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.6 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 50c | 3,066$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.69 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 78c | 2,560$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.19 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 59c | 2,351$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.07 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 61c | 2,304$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.72 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…64cdbacked Over | 78c | 2,004$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…fb26backed Over | 77c | 1,717$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 60c | 1,670$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Over | 78c | 1,623$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.58 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 37c | 1,464$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.95 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 1,362$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.69 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…0c46backed Over | 78c | 1,029$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Over | 56c | 999.98$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 22c | 999.92$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.93 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 29c | 857.76$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.93 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 60c | 834.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 55c | 829.09$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…e451backed Over | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 71cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Over | 69c | 728.89$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 718.78$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.17 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Over | 78c | 694.1$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff55…9334backed Over | 78c | 640.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 78c | 607.27$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.67 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 23c | 561.54$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.6 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 540.29$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 59c | 525.58$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.09 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Under | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Over | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Over | 77c | 499.82$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 75c | 475.67$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.27 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 78c | 472.06$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 79c | 443.1$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 29c | 418.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.84 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 78c | 385$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5af…5d38backed Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…e53abacked Over | 75c | 349.5$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 75c | 332.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 60c | 331.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 76c | 320.68$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.59 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 58c | 306.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Over | 52c | 288.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…5c02backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…f6bebacked Over | 80c | 270$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 19c | 269.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.1 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ad…6badbacked Over | 78c | 243.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 240$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 67c | 222.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Over | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…b350backed Over | 79c | 204.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 63c | 196.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 30c | 194.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 77c | 192.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Over | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 192.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 22c | 176.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Under | 21c | 173.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…ace2backed Over | 62c | 172$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Under | 62c | 170.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Over | 78c | 166.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 37c | 164.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 51c | 158.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 60c | 158$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…842ebacked Over | 56c | 157.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.