TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4eae…5095backed Yes50c10,002$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed No52c7,806$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,775.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c6,803$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.056,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c4,153$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.054,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No50c3,661$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.2651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c2,895$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.162,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes34c1,361$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa114…fdadbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002222.7%5 W · 17 L-5.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-49.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed No51c987.27$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.761747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No58c818.5$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789e…cf5ebacked No51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes17c626$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3782763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes48c600$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2897250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes49c480.14$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.271643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045064%32 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Yes50c353.02$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-63.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No51c333.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.332860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes51c316.08$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12915740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No50c296$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No50c286.93$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.671752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12526344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes25c250.03$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.471,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed No51c243.84$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes42c238.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes49c212.82$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes23c206.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.921,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Yes51c205.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes49c204$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5728242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes45c203.37$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.51,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7980…b49abacked Yes50c202.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e53…d1fdbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7613651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9810147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed No51c197.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…b990backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…1cd1backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x143d…9a1ebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No49c195.63$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7785748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Yes23c191.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.935349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ca…029bbacked Yes51c185.28$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+89.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes43c180.24$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.339732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes49c179.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1919145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Yes50c165$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.082147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked No51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.57439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504129.3%12 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes49c135.45$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6325348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes27c123.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9119455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes49c123.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608354.2%45 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.818449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ce…2414backed Yes51c118$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.182955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes28c116.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes36c109.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.731533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Yes41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013954%75 W · 64 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506647%31 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes51c101.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5224340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111048.2%53 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010547.6%50 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d3…2d0fbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1f…f549backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Yes34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9918052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e86…6b0fbacked Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503070%21 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9390…6303backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.989741.2%40 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed No52c94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.323565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes51c82.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.013259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+50.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406344.4%28 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No51c69.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9810448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes49c63.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114844.6%66 W · 82 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes51c63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1324044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed No57c62.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9216357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No66c61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5420956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71ab…0af0backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.