Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf709b19c0ea5c5434cb5483c15aeea0550ac29b52390d542096540c5f181e315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 3c | 7,750$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 76c | 2,788$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.12 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 76c | 1,531$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 24c | 1,171$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.93 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 78c | 961.54$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 75c | 608$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 877 | 48.2%423 W · 454 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 356 | 28.7%102 W · 254 L | -20.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Under | 77c | 415.58$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 75c | 324.67$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 76c | 299.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 25c | 256.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 32.6%75 W · 155 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 76c | 196.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a0…e4a4backed Over | 25c | 189.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 187.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 12c | 114.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 77c | 78.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…1b5cbacked Over | 24c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 24c | 65.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Over | 25c | 49.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…3997backed Under | 78c | 25.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 299 | 55.2%165 W · 134 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.