TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over44c90,292$39,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,728.5216040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over46c89,539$41,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,633.333740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c46,126$28,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,912.146,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under56c39,344$21,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,483.762,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under54c37,662$20,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,324.352259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…9ec7backed Over44c11,288$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,975.120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c10,641$5,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,957.294,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.9950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c5,961$3,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.362,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under56c5,743$3,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.731,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c5,280$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.0651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2009272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Over45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over13c4,374$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.622347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under54c4,047$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.8928242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under55c3,609$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.1912949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3201855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over45c2,921$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.554738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under56c2,271$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.432070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under54c2,270$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.7949254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under55c2,143$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.171,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38dc…cabbbacked Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c1,981$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.0721056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under56c1,672$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.9546943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over47c1,250$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.214166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa041…f9d5backed Under55c1,070$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f47…63d7backed Under56c1,013$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.992763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c953.24$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.822,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…f999backed Under55c930$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over31c764.92$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.469732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under54c747.86$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.029256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under54c736.19$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.7761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over47c700.04$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.022050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26423258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under64c579.41$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3316357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under54c555.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.754445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under55c490.91$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9120054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over43c435.98$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4742048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under55c420.85$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3825348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under55c417.21$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6911450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Under53c404$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.881855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18839948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under55c362.45$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under57c360$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.819357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over47c349.57$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.34228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.923926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over47c308.51$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under56c303.57$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.572860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over25c300$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7619235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over39c253.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11037557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Over5c246$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over45c222.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.36per pick45cpaid-79.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4dd1…875fbacked Over46c202.57$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over27c185.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under56c175.38$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1723250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Over46c173.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.834353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over45c163.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under67c160.24$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6513152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdc…d24bbacked Over45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e9a…33febacked Over46c132$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under61c131.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over46c130.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0236554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Under55c127.83$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.943857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.278953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under69c126.72$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.871,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed Over44c125.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.471861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb4…0c99backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.218449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.832755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.