TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunderland AFCof Leeds United FC, Sunderland AFC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Leeds United FC29c88,571$25,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,65011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sunderland AFC70c29,153$20,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,711.894,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC76c11,092$8,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.836,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Sunderland AFC72c10,589$7,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.992,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sunderland AFC72c8,558$6,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.0351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sunderland AFC71c7,710$5,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.542,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Sunderland AFC72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4009272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Leeds United FC30c3,377$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Sunderland AFC72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sunderland AFC71c2,971$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.5346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sunderland AFC71c1,972$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.8821056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Sunderland AFC69c1,500$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46013054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Sunderland AFC71c1,400$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Sunderland AFC79c1,138$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9825348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Sunderland AFC72c1,110$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sunderland AFC73c999.09$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0316238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sunderland AFC72c948.71$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Sunderland AFC73c906.39$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5111450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Leeds United FC26c896.93$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.179732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Leeds United FC29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Sunderland AFC72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22436956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sunderland AFC71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Leeds United FC25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Sunderland AFC75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Sunderland AFC73c347.34$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.781,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Sunderland AFC72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8435056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Sunderland AFC72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8459958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sunderland AFC72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8460557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Sunderland AFC73c294.12$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.333857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Sunderland AFC75c270$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.530059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Sunderland AFC72c253.21$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.281,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sunderland AFC71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.514553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Sunderland AFC72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7037557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Leeds United FC26c235.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1827748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Sunderland AFC73c205.93$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8916357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Sunderland AFC69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6211443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Sunderland AFC74c181.32$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5413152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Sunderland AFC72c151.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.725349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Sunderland AFC73c150.16$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.547663.2%48 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sunderland AFC72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4281559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Leeds United FC25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c2f…78a9backed Sunderland AFC74c139.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Sunderland AFC72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Sunderland AFC72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Sunderland AFC72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.632255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Sunderland AFC72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.633057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Sunderland AFC72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.632656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Sunderland AFC72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.636758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Sunderland AFC72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.632755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sunderland AFC72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Sunderland AFC72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.638358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Sunderland AFC72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.631557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Sunderland AFC72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.632158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Leeds United FC27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302050%10 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Sunderland AFC72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2829657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Sunderland AFC74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2639651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Leeds United FC24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411630.2%35 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Leeds United FC26c81.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3774256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Leeds United FC28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.416251.2%83 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Sunderland AFC75c79.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9913256.1%74 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked Leeds United FC26c76.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.881729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Sunderland AFC73c65.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.574839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Sunderland AFC72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.814560%87 W · 58 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Sunderland AFC72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.828458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Sunderland AFC72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.827758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Sunderland AFC72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Sunderland AFC72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.825560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Sunderland AFC75c59.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.320763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x269f…c358backed Sunderland AFC73c58.94$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.691275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Leeds United FC27c56.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1851516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Sunderland AFC75c55.45$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Sunderland AFC75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3327173.8%200 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick76cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Sunderland AFC74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.818963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Sunderland AFC72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1426259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Sunderland AFC72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1427661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Sunderland AFC72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1431359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Leeds United FC26c48.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6213550.4%68 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked Sunderland AFC73c47.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Sunderland AFC73c47.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.538463.1%53 W · 31 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Leeds United FC26c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.024131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Leeds United FC26c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9630143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Leeds United FC25c41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3828242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Sunderland AFC72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.225858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Sunderland AFC72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.225558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Leeds United FC25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…cdb6backed Sunderland AFC73c38.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558c…d8ffbacked Sunderland AFC70c28.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.481258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Sunderland AFC74c22.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7642658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Sunderland AFC73c21.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.755563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa228…ec0ebacked Sunderland AFC78c19.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.243357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ff…b00abacked Sunderland AFC80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+49.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sunderland AFC78c14.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2141343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.