TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c13,559$6,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,885.896,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over48c5,349$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.796435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over72c2,087$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.8614166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under29c1,960$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.482,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec2c…19f8backed Under29c1,818$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+153.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34510924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under60c1,481$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.752339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over71c1,225$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8701866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2a…9aa8backed Over71c1,201$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under52c1,076$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.5316238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c1,028$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.6261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over52c1,000$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.4282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over40c999.96$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.993525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under66c754.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under57c704.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over47c700$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32715740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under29c700$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4974751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over37c675$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.753735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Over27c640.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.632114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over71c633.8$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…09c5backed Over71c620$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dd8…5335backed Under65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.381464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under69c615.27$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6874156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Under61c605.89$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.022277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c598.54$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.514,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over64c576.3$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.4730059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under46c530$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.24235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under63c528.03$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over70c512.69$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over48c507.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd56…dd56backed Under30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-79.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Over71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3552045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under47c494.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c476.93$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.172,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Over70c467.56$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.296759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under55c449.94$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.479732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Over23c435.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.037138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over63c397.4$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over63c365.08$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under56c327.09$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.624146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over52c314.69$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6435347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over40c303.71$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c267.79$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over35c249.51$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.335935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Over72c247.63$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-63.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Over46c215.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004129.3%12 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under28c210.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5627748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over72c208$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7618265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d1…f89fbacked Over71c199.03$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under48c180.36$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6313152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over71c167.61$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1192454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Over65c154.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick70cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3813842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a60…4ddfbacked Over71c146.82$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over71c141$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.114170.7%29 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Over73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under56c129.01$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6649753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x961d…810bbacked Over71c126.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Over41c124.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.134445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over20c124.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25319.7%3 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.453630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…035cbacked Over33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over35c113.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c113.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.171,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over72c111$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6528242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over67c110$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.28858%51 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae3…ccc9backed Over71c110$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd39…600cbacked Over71c104$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.84366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over27c103.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6273258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.451266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17d5…c2b7backed Over71c102.82$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a9e…5003backed Over71c101$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.220143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5217244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b0…4055backed Under29c98.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over41c95.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over28c84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3520956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over72c83.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602661.5%16 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over46c78.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over39c76.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over54c75.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81c…0a81backed Over60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over53c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.759641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over48c73.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.