Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e288825a8e0bd7b0a0a41378dbb47b806255c1affec233ba9c8c66d9833f532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 28c | 10,123$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,283.47 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 70c | 10,066$7,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,033.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 20c | 9,779$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,827.35 | 1,783 | 49%874 W · 909 L | +142.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 43c | 5,934$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.74 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…cf16backed No | 44c | 4,702$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 29c | 4,616$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…2b8fbacked No | 5c | 4,190$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +947.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed82…0954backed Yes | 75c | 4,110$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed No | 6c | 2,808$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,573.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked No | 66c | 2,718$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c6f1backed Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 22c | 2,357$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.71 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…4690backed Yes | 60c | 2,073$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked No | 30c | 2,043$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.57 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,696$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.93 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 64c | 1,343$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.83 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 36c | 1,282$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.24 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 32c | 1,240$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.67 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…ca95backed No | 19c | 1,212$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes | 1c | 1,183$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 16c | 1,175$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.73 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…0371backed Yes | 65c | 1,127$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed Yes | 9c | 1,122$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,054$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.07 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Yes | 66c | 1,007$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.86 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed No | 30c | 898.22$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.94 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…c3c5backed No | 21c | 897.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 10c | 895.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.54 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 13c | 860.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes | 74c | 847.86$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 19c | 790$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.45 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 769.99$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.7 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 12c | 761.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Yes | 4c | 700$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…e758backed No | 79c | 699.98$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed No | 51c | 695.6$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 7c | 680.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.11 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked Yes | 60c | 649.53$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed No | 53c | 648.63$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 8c | 648.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.36 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…b213backed Yes | 67c | 566.33$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 553.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed No | 34c | 552.94$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…ed89backed Yes | 75c | 552.61$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 520.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.25 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed No | 43c | 468.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.54 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed Yes | 69c | 444.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 63c | 423.05$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.16 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa5…85cabacked Yes | 65c | 378.3$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.23 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…c796backed Yes | 78c | 354.09$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 7c | 353.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…5e66backed Yes | 59c | 352.75$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed No | 11c | 330$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 24c | 321.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 31c | 321.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3a…287bbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed Yes | 20c | 288.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…ec95backed No | 8c | 278.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +545.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…f5dfbacked Yes | 74c | 272.85$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.71 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 25c | 266.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x770b…e274backed No | 34c | 259.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.21 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 258.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 47c | 257.34$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 6c | 256.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.16 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 74c | 250.77$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 65c | 231.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfc…26aebacked Yes | 17c | 227.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 5c | 227.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.78 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 22c | 224.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 28c | 224.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 34c | 222$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…c8a6backed No | 42c | 212.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da8…8d72backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…1ac1backed Yes | 75c | 198.51$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed No | 34c | 187.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed No | 34c | 182.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 10c | 181.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…ee29backed No | 29c | 174$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…f70fbacked No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…49acbacked Yes | 47c | 147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 71c | 145.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e8…38b0backed Yes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 59c | 139.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 65c | 134.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 54c | 132.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 36c | 132$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 24c | 129$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 36c | 128.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 26c | 128.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3470…f3cfbacked No | 41c | 128.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 67c | 126.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed No | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…66a2backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?this page
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.