Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d9f85fde66a18f1bed0daf5a9a88d25cb4a22ebdc850d257fcd4dba669265cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe42f…8c01backed Yes | 62c | 5,090$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 43c | 4,961$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.59 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 63c | 2,278$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.58 | 1,779 | 49.1%873 W · 906 L | +143.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 45c | 2,250$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,894$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked No | 70c | 1,861$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.31 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,627$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.65 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed No | 44c | 1,520$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa181…43cfbacked Yes | 27c | 1,349$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 14c | 1,299$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 58c | 1,228$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.24 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 72c | 1,219$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.52 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3e…d3ddbacked Yes | 49c | 1,015$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked Yes | 38c | 740.1$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 55c | 700.5$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770b…e274backed No | 74c | 619.71$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 49c | 526.66$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…f5dfbacked Yes | 38c | 520.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 517.17$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 71c | 488.89$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed Yes | 49c | 466.25$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.89 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 56c | 434.3$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 425.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…f96ebacked Yes | 44c | 416.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…97cebacked Yes | 32c | 399.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 68c | 333.26$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed No | 37c | 326.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.59 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 78c | 322$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 319.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 31c | 283.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 76c | 278.96$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 11c | 257.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…233abacked No | 74c | 246.56$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…eb18backed Yes | 59c | 237.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…37edbacked No | 66c | 219.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…ca95backed Yes | 71c | 212$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82e…ad17backed Yes | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa5…85cabacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 41c | 194.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 26c | 194.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 65c | 173.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 31c | 172.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 32c | 164.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 43c | 164.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…c796backed Yes | 37c | 158.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…9074backed Yes | 48c | 157.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 66c | 145.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 36c | 137.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c79…8fffbacked Yes | 57c | 135.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…eb85backed Yes | 61c | 133.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 132.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 65c | 125.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…dbbabacked No | 80c | 124.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed Yes | 34c | 110.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed Yes | 58c | 102.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…5ff2backed No | 77c | 101.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…3834backed Yes | 46c | 100.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed No | 78c | 96.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…850fbacked Yes | 48c | 95.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…b3e0backed No | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…558fbacked No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed No | 69c | 91.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bce…7dbebacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 59c | 84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…0811backed Yes | 46c | 81.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…f0b4backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 73.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…f8dbbacked No | 71c | 70.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…66a2backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2679…bb54backed No | 45c | 61.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 48c | 61.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 24c | 59.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74eb…c78abacked No | 68c | 57.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…253ebacked Yes | 38c | 52.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 34c | 52.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 56c | 50.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…6f24backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…0d2fbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…5728backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4a…4bb3backed No | 65c | 45.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…f313backed Yes | 45c | 44.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…3641backed Yes | 46c | 43.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed No | 62c | 40.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…116cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…435bbacked Yes | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…fe4ebacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…3a60backed No | 59c | 31.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…7090backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?this page
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.