Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee2196cad763aa21b4147c4bdd259eee3c31ddff7df437e6ca65d896fb1f5f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 9c | 6,349$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.31 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 1c | 4,992$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,659$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.72 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 18c | 1,767$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.58 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed Yes | 76c | 1,320$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…cf16backed No | 22c | 1,249$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked No | 49c | 1,210$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Yes | 72c | 1,138$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.85 | 1,325 | 46.9%622 W · 703 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…c8a6backed No | 7c | 1,032$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked No | 1c | 937.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 15c | 584.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 1,775 | 49%869 W · 906 L | +141.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 67c | 570.47$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…5728backed No | 18c | 560$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…c3c5backed No | 12c | 474.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…1ac1backed Yes | 70c | 427.72$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…25abbacked No | 21c | 419.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…18c7backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…5ba3backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +193.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed Yes | 72c | 389.55$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12a8…90ddbacked No | 7c | 380.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…f5dfbacked No | 33c | 332.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 329.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed Yes | 77c | 295.63$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 22c | 292.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 77c | 288.88$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…2b8fbacked No | 5c | 274.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +947.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 9c | 246.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 8c | 199.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4df…6a6fbacked No | 19c | 186.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed No | 24c | 186.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…1140backed No | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 71c | 165$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 147.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…77c0backed No | 10c | 141.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 129.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 24c | 127.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed Yes | 72c | 119.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 35c | 116.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…3834backed Yes | 80c | 115.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 23c | 114.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 24c | 107.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.46per pick | 18cpaid | +320.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 16c | 104.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d0…4c47backed Yes | 77c | 104.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa5…85cabacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 20c | 92.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df5…e7c2backed Yes | 54c | 89.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 15c | 85.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 14c | 80.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…3831backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 73c | 70.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…59afbacked No | 24c | 67.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…938fbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Yes | 78c | 53.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked No | 31c | 51.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 26c | 47.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 76c | 43.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7ce8backed Yes | 61c | 32.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 37c | 30.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 37c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,443 | 8.8%127 W · 1,316 L | -53.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…29dbbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…5148backed Yes | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…7ffdbacked Yes | 74c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 77c | 13.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of February?this page
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.