Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x783dc01ba92d3ff32d16d322ac644a922e7e80afe7f6aa857432439dcba231a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 0c | 53,883$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 51c | 8,383$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.9 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,742$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 31c | 4,211$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.42 | 1,779 | 49.1%873 W · 906 L | +143.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 3,605$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Yes | 36c | 3,169$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.97 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 7c | 2,665$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked No | 78c | 2,460$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…cf16backed No | 74c | 2,127$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,493$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.37 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 2c | 1,263$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 41c | 1,194$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.39 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 72c | 1,033$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.78 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked No | 46c | 939.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e37…1fecbacked Yes | 54c | 926.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 68c | 900$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.62 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 51c | 843.13$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 41c | 804.26$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.26 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 42c | 800$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.76 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed No | 53c | 723.25$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.93 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed No | 10c | 700$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4397…5a14backed Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 58c | 590$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…b101backed Yes | 69c | 590$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 46c | 530.03$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.03 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…bdf8backed No | 20c | 499.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 439$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.81 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 57c | 427$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…f5dfbacked Yes | 53c | 420.48$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 49c | 400$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4f…6232backed Yes | 15c | 399.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…1ac1backed No | 57c | 393$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 35c | 335.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 15c | 330.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 49c | 318$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 12c | 305.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.45 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…1ca3backed No | 34c | 298.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +198.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…25d5backed No | 30c | 285.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 284.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 13c | 283.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 58c | 279.14$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…f96ebacked Yes | 45c | 268.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 58c | 268.16$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed No | 16c | 251.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4d…bf6fbacked Yes | 61c | 250.34$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…ed9fbacked Yes | 72c | 246.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 63c | 244.53$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 30c | 233.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa5…85cabacked No | 40c | 207.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 10c | 206.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…0371backed Yes | 38c | 204$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 54c | 201.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…97cebacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…f0b4backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708c…b1a2backed No | 77c | 189.73$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…233abacked No | 44c | 189.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…c0debacked Yes | 15c | 182.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +252.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…4002backed No | 46c | 162.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…5a97backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 19c | 159.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 50c | 155.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 48c | 153.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724a…e2c0backed Yes | 66c | 152.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 74c | 151.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…70a1backed Yes | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 64c | 132.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…a25bbacked Yes | 50c | 132$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…850fbacked Yes | 44c | 130.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…4a0ebacked No | 50c | 129$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7b6ebacked Yes | 50c | 129$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61eb…c6aabacked Yes | 50c | 129$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b1…a783backed Yes | 50c | 129$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…7ff4backed No | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…a233backed Yes | 50c | 127$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 126.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…916ebacked No | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…bb53backed No | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…308fbacked No | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…96c9backed Yes | 41c | 122.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…5c48backed No | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…6cc3backed No | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…18d7backed No | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…2dfbbacked No | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…18dfbacked No | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…faf0backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed Yes | 47c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 63c | 117.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…0da6backed Yes | 50c | 117$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f6…4832backed Yes | 50c | 117$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…31fcbacked Yes | 50c | 117$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…2de8backed Yes | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140c…74e4backed Yes | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e4…8723backed No | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…6ba4backed Yes | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?this page
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of February?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of February?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.