China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc8e76bdf670f8bfda884f6e9101ae4e75e7f6074a16694c5e5976d0ce7dca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 2c | 90,754$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.45 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 25,446$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.04 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 2c | 22,783$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…c4febacked Yes | 25c | 22,041$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,472.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 20c | 14,966$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.07 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 16cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300e…3006backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…03b5backed Yes | 3c | 9,309$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 8,315$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…8ec6backed Yes | 1c | 7,692$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…3e42backed Yes | 1c | 7,692$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…12c6backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…c035backed Yes | 3c | 7,065$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…bb43backed Yes | 19c | 6,818$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +103%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 1c | 6,622$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 14cpaid | +231.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…28dabacked Yes | 2c | 6,377$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 0c | 6,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 12cpaid | +211%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…a205backed Yes | 1c | 6,077$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 1c | 6,050$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 39c | 5,474$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…6f64backed Yes | 1c | 5,443$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…a8cabacked Yes | 6c | 5,424$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 5,096$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed Yes | 18c | 5,070$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 3c | 5,049$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…8387backed Yes | 1c | 4,850$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 2c | 4,507$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed Yes | 1c | 4,403$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 4,401$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 1c | 4,400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc76c…d01dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,384$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 4,333$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…1593backed Yes | 4c | 3,808$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…e2f8backed Yes | 24c | 3,797$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 34c | 3,750$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 74c | 3,533$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.38 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…170dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,504$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3d…7f8dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,292$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…6b06backed Yes | 3c | 3,197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 3,195$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe417…9a9fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,004$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 9c | 2,858$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.46 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 2,751$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…89e8backed Yes | 4c | 2,728$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…2c3dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,722$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -81%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…ebb9backed Yes | 1c | 2,690$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9c…0f82backed Yes | 2c | 2,633$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…974fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,556$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…8c4fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,553$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,552$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…6ae0backed Yes | 2c | 2,477$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 23c | 2,468$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…169abacked Yes | 1c | 2,456$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 78c | 2,440$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 72c | 2,437$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 6c | 2,316$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed No | 74c | 2,275$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…eeaebacked Yes | 2c | 2,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed Yes | 2c | 2,194$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…0e1cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,151$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…c48dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 24c | 2,082$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…dbd4backed Yes | 4c | 2,034$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 29c | 2,010$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad56…396cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,896$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…73e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,840$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed Yes | 16c | 1,803$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,720$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,663$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,588$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 2c | 1,538$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…396dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,510$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 18c | 1,486$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 26cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed Yes | 27c | 1,470$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c6…680fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,404$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907f…f855backed Yes | 2c | 1,403$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Yes | 26c | 1,392$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 20c | 1,391$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.45 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…c43ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,373$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…97bebacked Yes | 2c | 1,354$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,320$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed Yes | 4c | 1,285$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…82edbacked Yes | 4c | 1,270$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c70…f74dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,241$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…d4febacked Yes | 8c | 1,225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 1,187$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…dea5backed Yes | 2c | 1,185$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…de25backed Yes | 3c | 1,173$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…d552backed Yes | 26c | 1,171$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…8c53backed Yes | 30c | 1,129$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +506.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,098$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…844abacked Yes | 6c | 1,077$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked Yes | 19c | 1,073$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 72c | 1,060$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,050$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 2, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 26, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 28, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 9, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on or prior to May 1, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.