Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6920a44f0885d9e539f019caaeba446b3761aac6dc48b57ef324cef585b49932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 3c | 8,927$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 33c | 5,539$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.57 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…1dc7backed No | 30c | 3,166$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed No | 49c | 2,698$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.44 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed No | 7c | 2,591$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 10c | 2,128$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.24 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 3c | 1,950$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,948$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.78 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…14d7backed No | 2c | 1,559$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d25…9ca9backed No | 4c | 1,556$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…6e55backed No | 6c | 1,500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 8c | 1,498$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67fa…1a08backed No | 25c | 1,201$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…ab71backed No | 12c | 1,149$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed No | 25c | 1,043$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 17c | 999.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.98 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 55c | 890.48$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.43 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…ad79backed No | 10c | 800.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed No | 4c | 787.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 17c | 742.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…e801backed No | 37c | 679.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 2c | 673.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 5c | 650$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…4554backed No | 78c | 638.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121d…832abacked No | 21c | 633.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…78ebbacked No | 5c | 581.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…eb6fbacked No | 67c | 546.57$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554d…781ebacked No | 67c | 528.7$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 60c | 504.06$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…d852backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…3d92backed No | 7c | 499.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf3…369dbacked No | 24c | 475.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 423.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed No | 11c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked Yes | 42c | 398.27$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.89 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 12c | 388.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 76c | 385.5$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.28 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…0673backed No | 27c | 366.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 9c | 351.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f6…1326backed No | 30c | 334.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…39d8backed No | 5c | 320.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…6fd2backed No | 16c | 260$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…f118backed No | 12c | 252.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…184bbacked No | 62c | 245$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.26 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6e…e8adbacked No | 75c | 239.72$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…d51ebacked No | 45c | 239.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…3489backed Yes | 67c | 236.47$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 31c | 236.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe04a…9eb8backed No | 22c | 227.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…c3b3backed No | 22c | 227.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 37c | 215.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…9352backed No | 35c | 213.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c5…e6eebacked No | 29c | 207.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 21cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 45c | 202.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 53c | 201.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…6e8bbacked No | 79c | 201.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…2890backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 9c | 192$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…07b3backed No | 67c | 150.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…b936backed No | 14c | 147.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 76c | 115.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 29c | 113.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15aa…ff02backed Yes | 35c | 108.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +99%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 23c | 107.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…42e3backed No | 74c | 101.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…0f21backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…6822backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…6342backed Yes | 75c | 93.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…4383backed Yes | 44c | 91.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed No | 59c | 88.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 79c | 86.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 67c | 81.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715c…d081backed No | 20c | 81.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…56f4backed Yes | 64c | 78.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619d…b31cbacked Yes | 75c | 77.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 67c | 77.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 44c | 71.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked Yes | 29c | 69.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed No | 76c | 69.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…fdb4backed No | 75c | 66.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked No | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…763abacked No | 24c | 62.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 39c | 62.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 21c | 62.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 49c | 59.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 69c | 56.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed Yes | 50c | 51.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…2210backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…f85dbacked Yes | 40c | 49.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138f…e0bbbacked No | 41c | 48.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed No | 63c | 46.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?this page
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026?No won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?Yes won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026?Yes won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes won
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.