Ukraine · resolved market
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48363f308db61eeb28aff5788cdb7f6fd03907714b27ac50e0aad17c4b08ed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1187…f12fbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked No | 0c | 7,316$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 20c | 6,104$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.02 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed No | 2c | 5,467$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 36c | 4,000$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…f5bdbacked No | 1c | 3,563$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 16c | 3,210$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.84 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…3e20backed No | 36c | 2,778$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed No | 18c | 2,685$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…7228backed Yes | 59c | 2,665$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…c9abbacked No | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…765ebacked No | 4c | 2,243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 2,129$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 2,080$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 1c | 2,037$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 71c | 2,011$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked No | 5c | 1,964$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…8dfcbacked No | 2c | 1,793$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,732$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…b8dcbacked No | 3c | 1,593$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 56c | 1,488$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 3c | 1,448$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5721…6746backed No | 8c | 1,378$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 17c | 1,247$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c7…59cfbacked No | 23c | 1,139$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f68…d672backed No | 9c | 1,113$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 1,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 56c | 1,069$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 23c | 1,000$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…3ef9backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c40…3d64backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af4…0597backed No | 7c | 997.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 43c | 980$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 6c | 956.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…ea5dbacked Yes | 68c | 882.59$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Yes | 77c | 862.68$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked No | 18c | 833.3$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…4099backed No | 3c | 750$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked No | 5c | 750$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…d300backed No | 6c | 701.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…8579backed No | 53c | 700$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ad…ac48backed Yes | 66c | 697.21$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690b…eb44backed No | 38c | 659.59$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…9344backed No | 31c | 650.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…a68abacked No | 5c | 636.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…a25abacked No | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked No | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 68c | 596.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…416cbacked No | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +317.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 14c | 571.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f82ebacked Yes | 65c | 550.71$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 21c | 550.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked Yes | 56c | 549.88$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 55c | 542.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 19cpaid | +429.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…6ce4backed No | 7c | 508.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…99f2backed No | 25c | 507.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…6d3cbacked No | 2c | 501.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…0720backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…9bf5backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…8360backed Yes | 60c | 496.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a64…e470backed No | 31c | 488.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed No | 42c | 478.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b7…0704backed No | 50c | 477.69$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 9c | 412.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…08f0backed No | 5c | 412.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…d79bbacked No | 3c | 387.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea84…dec2backed No | 34c | 381.53$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171e…e046backed Yes | 54c | 367.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328b…fa07backed No | 4c | 361.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed No | 30c | 359.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…d6cfbacked No | 9c | 330.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 69c | 328.97$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0173…1949backed No | 49c | 310$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 39c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…e4a1backed No | 22c | 297$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 289.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…2e35backed No | 9c | 287.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 53c | 263$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Yes | 61c | 258.32$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…0c9ebacked No | 34c | 257.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…97e1backed No | 8c | 253.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 5c | 249$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b5…55f7backed Yes | 60c | 245$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 54c | 238.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…eb3bbacked No | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 69c | 205.91$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…3c55backed Yes | 66c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…75a0backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Yes | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…a426backed No | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 40c | 198$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.