Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ee9c148f0e2b386ba959aca5954c5e6c428695bf1a5fca0af9194f40487758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8494…f290backed No | 1c | 12,505$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed No | 38c | 5,528$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…8397backed No | 12c | 5,148$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.05 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…32a2backed Yes | 72c | 4,375$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…5fc5backed No | 1c | 4,203$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 20c | 3,630$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.73 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 3c | 3,396$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…4ed7backed No | 1c | 2,901$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 23c | 2,344$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.37 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 17c | 2,000$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.4 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ba…5707backed No | 5c | 1,981$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +1,740.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 6c | 1,828$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,791$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,625$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 22c | 1,546$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.94 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 30c | 1,475$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 1,340$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 1,304$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…e9ecbacked No | 4c | 1,204$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d8…d3e5backed No | 8c | 1,021$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…e0bebacked No | 8c | 1,010$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…3aa1backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…1c0cbacked No | 8c | 997.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bec…2fe9backed No | 7c | 996$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…382fbacked No | 8c | 993.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4d…82c7backed No | 8c | 990$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606c…cccbbacked No | 8c | 990$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aee…4e56backed No | 8c | 990$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…4cd6backed No | 8c | 983$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…046ebacked No | 8c | 980$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…9f02backed No | 8c | 978$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cf…54c0backed No | 8c | 966$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…a5f2backed No | 8c | 966$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…0d87backed No | 8c | 966$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…3a0abacked No | 7c | 962$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45b…f62dbacked No | 8c | 948$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…bd87backed No | 8c | 948$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 2c | 930.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 74c | 867.59$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.59 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 847.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…ec4fbacked No | 2c | 831.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +1,142.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…18b5backed No | 6c | 820$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…fa43backed No | 6c | 820$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…ad9ebacked No | 8c | 820$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…1817backed No | 8c | 819.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…0aecbacked No | 8c | 819.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8831…4a89backed No | 8c | 819.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…73c8backed No | 8c | 814.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94a…5457backed No | 8c | 810$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4305…df2ebacked No | 8c | 810$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…e958backed No | 8c | 809.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…5406backed No | 8c | 808$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…5724backed No | 8c | 797.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…6f64backed No | 8c | 794.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…01a2backed No | 8c | 790$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…267fbacked No | 8c | 788$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…8147backed No | 8c | 784.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa040…2181backed No | 8c | 780$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…86cfbacked No | 29c | 778.33$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e028backed Yes | 66c | 751.4$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 40cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed Yes | 79c | 747.17$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcab…3376backed No | 11c | 743.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 718.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5a…1fc8backed No | 8c | 714.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf4…b63abacked No | 7c | 705.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…831dbacked Yes | 76c | 701.06$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…eb39backed Yes | 73c | 698.85$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…b727backed No | 8c | 682$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac62…6895backed No | 8c | 682$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…e92bbacked No | 8c | 680$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…e8b1backed No | 8c | 680$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa3…b8cebacked No | 8c | 680$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…0d91backed No | 8c | 680$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…6849backed No | 7c | 676$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b6…dec7backed No | 6c | 660$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…900dbacked No | 7c | 660$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked No | 7c | 581.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6348…499fbacked No | 7c | 550$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed No | 23c | 543.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ca…841cbacked No | 9c | 536.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 33c | 536$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.34 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +25.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 494.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 23c | 415.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…b5c3backed No | 4c | 382.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…e20fbacked No | 34c | 379.08$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 70c | 375.09$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 22c | 355.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 7c | 351$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked Yes | 61c | 341.84$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 4c | 319$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 63c | 316.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 17c | 310$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked No | 17c | 298.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…390fbacked Yes | 74c | 297.3$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…828abacked No | 7c | 281.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…029abacked No | 7c | 280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…5127backed Yes | 73c | 275.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…48ebbacked No | 6c | 267.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ba…847abacked No | 6c | 266$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 263.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?this page
- Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?No won
- Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.