TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,414 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc662…b919backed No78c3,084$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.962334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes3c2,146$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.054961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No75c2,000$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.8811256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes29c999.99$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2861,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes34c981.5$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.246341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No70c835.97$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.7548140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes10c833.14$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.267799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Yes29c678.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd572…a526backed No59c637.06$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.45728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes40c620.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes14c598.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe88d…3db1backed Yes11c428.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes19c342.16$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.52,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Yes34c315.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.245851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a1…e17dbacked Yes32c265.63$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No74c250.56$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6992038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83e…ac22backed No62c238.82$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.471827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No70c236.43$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6942737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b73…e9f3backed No68c217.12$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.612759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes39c211.42$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3543145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked No71c192.43$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5915240.8%62 W · 90 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes5c190.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.456098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e88…24d1backed Yes27c188.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-68.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes18c185$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8232044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No64c174.89$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.123429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e2…c1a7backed Yes46c173.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.681118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-69.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a96…69debacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No68c153.32$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.335257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+44.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes32c152.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2480225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Yes30c150$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.57050%35 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked Yes34c150$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.55253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b8…dd8bbacked No67c149.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.716653%35 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes27c149.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8342336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes15c147.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1316246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Yes25c144$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked No61c141.68$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5612550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No78c132.97$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No70c132$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5866239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes40c126.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506929%20 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.211241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7114…6432backed No45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662653.8%14 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+56.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes52c112.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5913441.8%56 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ea…f2f0backed Yes19c111.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.561127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No57c108.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.512945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4120…f424backed Yes26c106$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Yes31c104.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.514337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No62c100.88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.377639.5%30 W · 46 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18af…f909backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc027…cd1dbacked Yes52c96.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes45c89.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.498318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No71c80.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.484055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f32…583fbacked No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe667…55a7backed Yes38c79.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes35c74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.926037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes33c74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.156940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed No55c72.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.848248.8%40 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes15c72.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4545736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8146…098dbacked Yes31c64.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…c0e9backed No51c60.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.261233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0a…caf5backed Yes51c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.491711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-79.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x827f…80b6backed Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked Yes34c57.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.468525.9%22 W · 63 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fa…06e2backed Yes29c56.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes42c55.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5114436.1%52 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c4…111bbacked No45c55.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.892718.5%5 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb61…d89abacked No53c55.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.07560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes37c53.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.824546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No77c51.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8619874.7%148 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cc…b0c2backed Yes20c50.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf65d…b385backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43fd…59d3backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c5…91d7backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9291…71a2backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7434…eeacbacked No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249629.2%28 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked No70c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159358.1%54 W · 39 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked No55c49.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55444.4%24 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e30…6710backed Yes25c48.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.06825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c1…a18cbacked Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid+43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9998…e858backed No56c44.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+347.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No68c42.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7341231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb62b…7b89backed Yes26c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdea5…c77bbacked No63c39.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9838…9319backed Yes31c39.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d7…9caabacked No55c38.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0f…a4e7backed No61c36.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.321729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-38.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x884b…be3cbacked No63c31.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+196.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes32c31.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0711611.2%13 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x738a…5996backed No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152737%10 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fb…b650backed No63c28.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.486839.7%27 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked No55c27.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49629.2%28 W · 68 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked No71c25.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…47c5backed Yes47c25.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No56c25.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0516646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd893…cdcfbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104827.1%13 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2818…f033backed No75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…83e5backed No75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.