Middle East · resolved market

Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad1ead5071b161f5a19d2873ced32c07108e14a78a278c0b88cd6adab458d30b

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $102,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,034 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa338…2acabacked Yes	0c	20,001$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	79c	12,239$9,655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,584.43	643	39.3%253 W · 390 L	-59.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes	26c	3,957$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.08	161	25.5%41 W · 120 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes	17c	3,804$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.78	362	27.9%101 W · 261 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed No	73c	3,015$2,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.28	382	47.6%182 W · 200 L	+37.1wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1940…0ea1backed Yes	14c	2,665$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.1	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,443$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.49	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dab…840bbacked Yes	34c	2,402$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a9…5a71backed Yes	42c	2,369$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.9	382	37.7%144 W · 238 L	+16.4wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	1,585$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	507	1.4%7 W · 500 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes	43c	1,580$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.96	356	31.7%113 W · 243 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6519…611bbacked Yes	22c	1,564$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.38	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	38c	1,500$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.99	223	33.6%75 W · 148 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc040…beacbacked No	12c	1,424$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,256.02	165	26.1%43 W · 122 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed No	47c	1,324$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.27	312	41.7%130 W · 182 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes	8c	1,313$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc662…b919backed Yes	25c	1,220$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.2	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	19c	1,199$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.84	423	11.6%49 W · 374 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No	42c	1,123$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655.27	296	53.7%159 W · 137 L	+20.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+104.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf23…aa95backed No	70c	945.35$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.59	120	54.2%65 W · 55 L	+10.7wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	33c	871.3$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.34	589	27.2%160 W · 429 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…b02abacked Yes	4c	769.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	28c	742.06$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.79	217	26.7%58 W · 159 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes	51c	742$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.84	126	38.1%48 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…ea5dbacked No	68c	718.89$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.8	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed No	61c	623.52$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.85	142	28.2%40 W · 102 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+34%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	16c	563.08$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.09	112	8.9%10 W · 102 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	+149.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	7c	546.45$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.97	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes	22c	450.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa619…1103backed Yes	15c	440.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.64	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	56c	440.86$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.62	360	35.3%127 W · 233 L	-30.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	68c	407$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.24	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05df…882dbacked No	76c	400$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed Yes	24c	400$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33e2…3a1bbacked No	72c	395.02$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.07	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	17c	382$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.94	124	32.3%40 W · 84 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	3c	365.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	122	23%28 W · 94 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd416…d9e2backed No	78c	324.37$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.11	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x096a…269dbacked Yes	33c	303.81$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x392a…262dbacked No	75c	267.4$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.03	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	61c	258.16$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	366	34.4%126 W · 240 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d77…cf31backed Yes	20c	255.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	6.1%7 W · 107 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf114…8003backed Yes	19c	230.78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.8	85	15.3%13 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe32…1a05backed Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed Yes	33c	217.36$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.73	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	+19.6wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x28a3…869ebacked Yes	75c	200.51$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x095b…8a05backed Yes	31c	199.1$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.72	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60a8…7d37backed No	47c	167.74$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.76	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+9.7wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	38c	164$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.32	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	63c	160$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.2	181	35.9%65 W · 116 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7302…828abacked Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+3.4wins	+0.31per pick	42cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	50c	140.25$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.27	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea41…1c98backed No	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	333	37.5%125 W · 208 L	+12.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…1e17backed Yes	33c	134$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.56	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fd…ca7cbacked Yes	19c	129.04$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d6…303abacked Yes	39c	128.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	53c	123.74$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.79	359	21.4%77 W · 282 L	-23.8wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked No	62c	122.64$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.6	175	30.9%54 W · 121 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2948…788abacked No	62c	120$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+8.0wins	+0.23per pick	37cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No	14c	119.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.19	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd91…6262backed Yes	19c	115.32$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.43	147	15%22 W · 125 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	33c	112.97$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.08	489	23.5%115 W · 374 L	-14.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7b3…4d47backed No	74c	110.84$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	62cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7076…586dbacked Yes	11c	104.62$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-4.4wins	-0.34per pick	57cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes	23c	103.9$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d5…c665backed No	54c	103.84$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.57	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	50c	100.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	222	62.2%138 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e6…0f21backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	123	30.1%37 W · 86 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x503c…4574backed Yes	16c	93.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	35c	93$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.41	865	42.3%366 W · 499 L	-3.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	73c	92.67$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.21	99	81.8%81 W · 18 L	+9.7wins	+0.10per pick	72cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes	42c	89.52$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	109	45.9%50 W · 59 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…4cfdbacked No	23c	81.74$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.56	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No	36c	80$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.6	366	26.8%98 W · 268 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	25c	74.9$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	53	32.1%17 W · 36 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9352…2227backed No	68c	71.09$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.52	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No	19c	70$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.7	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e29…a4a0backed No	78c	69.98$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.38	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-7.4wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b65…293ebacked No	72c	69.02$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.62	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+4.6wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes	63c	63.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	72	29.2%21 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes	24c	63.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.31	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+6.6wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e4f…a849backed No	45c	62.94$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.48	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	41c	61.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.89	857	25.2%216 W · 641 L	-115.1wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3825…04e8backed Yes	22c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed No	23c	59.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…220ebacked Yes	30c	59.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.96	109	28.4%31 W · 78 L	-15.2wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0275…b936backed Yes	20c	52.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	121	14%17 W · 104 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x023d…3431backed No	28c	52$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.57	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35d…5df9backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed No	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.1	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked No	79c	49.03$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x265a…ee13backed Yes	33c	46.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d05…acdebacked Yes	23c	45.35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed No	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	66	31.8%21 W · 45 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked No	27c	40$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+64.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Yes	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed Yes	40c	32.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.06	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-34%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a1f…0f14backed No	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?this page
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event