Middle East · resolved market

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0171fdc9ab8522b86fd0439283fb61e8d619c65635f0b6d00e285d39b2a3fbf7

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,845 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes	24c	10,156$2,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,428.04	161	25.5%41 W · 120 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	12c	5,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	170	18.2%31 W · 139 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+77.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	79c	4,100$3,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$878.31	643	39.3%253 W · 390 L	-59.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes	48c	2,313$1,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.32	356	31.7%113 W · 243 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	2,204$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.31	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes	6c	1,774$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	1,699$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	507	1.4%7 W · 500 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	8c	1,656$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.34	221	7.2%16 W · 205 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f71…4e83backed Yes	24c	1,572$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.38	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	10c	1,518$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.28	423	11.6%49 W · 374 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc040…beacbacked No	19c	1,283$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.76	165	26.1%43 W · 122 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes	27c	1,204$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.47	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b44…264ebacked No	49c	994.66$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.54	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+9.7wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+156.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	12c	948.64$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.72	288	27.8%80 W · 208 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x853c…bd03backed Yes	42c	838.41$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.51	134	41.8%56 W · 78 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	37c	829.65$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.67	589	27.2%160 W · 429 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	24c	777.97$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.71	458	43.7%200 W · 258 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x233b…1f2cbacked No	63c	758.14$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.76	102	40.2%41 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d6…303abacked Yes	44c	678.59$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	52c	666.76$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.51	217	26.7%58 W · 159 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed No	53c	562.57$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.86	312	41.7%130 W · 182 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	75c	542.06$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.12	359	21.4%77 W · 282 L	-23.8wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf114…8003backed Yes	5c	445.02$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	85	15.3%13 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2712…eb71backed No	24c	415.05$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.33	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes	17c	400$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	399.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e0f…9556backed No	76c	380.28$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.85	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes	76c	359.99$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.59	159	43.4%69 W · 90 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dcc…d287backed Yes	12c	345.83$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No	23c	326.42$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.66	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	3c	318.16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	19c	316$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.15	110	37.3%41 W · 69 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd416…d9e2backed No	59c	315$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.06	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	55c	303.51$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.06	360	35.3%127 W · 233 L	-30.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	8c	300$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	274	2.9%8 W · 266 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9352…2227backed No	75c	268.52$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.33	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f5…0f06backed Yes	12c	261.66$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…9e91backed Yes	12c	242.5$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x323b…df9abacked Yes	14c	214.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	18c	213$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.19	181	35.9%65 W · 116 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes	80c	200$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	119	44.5%53 W · 66 L	-17.8wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1547…d066backed No	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb355…f149backed No	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.8	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes	23c	196.39$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	38c	186.45$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.85	489	23.5%115 W · 374 L	-14.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…220ebacked Yes	36c	173.81$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.67	109	28.4%31 W · 78 L	-15.2wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	7c	173.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.64	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+6.1wins	+0.14per pick	17cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc66b…02aabacked Yes	12c	172.38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5255…6e58backed Yes	74c	160$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.7	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes	76c	158$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.08	253	39.5%100 W · 153 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6519…611bbacked Yes	35c	152.67$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.47	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbb1…ecdbbacked No	33c	150.98$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.98	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+75.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes	28c	144.04$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	153	38.6%59 W · 94 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0013…3c30backed Yes	14c	142.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x121d…832abacked Yes	72c	139.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08eb…9ca4backed No	64c	139.4$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.75	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+6.5wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7447…4657backed Yes	20c	131.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…397dbacked No	78c	128.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.39	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No	50c	125.84$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.48	296	53.7%159 W · 137 L	+20.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+104.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18f…294cbacked Yes	75c	125$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.75	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Yes	12c	124.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1df…309dbacked No	78c	122.35$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.72	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed Yes	34c	106.26$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.67	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-34%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No	32c	104.45$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.15	366	26.8%98 W · 268 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed No	49c	101.8$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.8	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	35c	100.45$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.25	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed No	24c	100$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x108b…244dbacked Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes	62c	99.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.19	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+72.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc91b…93bdbacked Yes	19c	98.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…4cfdbacked No	45c	90.99$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.65	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33be…adc8backed Yes	23c	88.52$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d3…158dbacked No	26c	85.89$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.27	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+162.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a42…7ffabacked No	19c	84.21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.21	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.38per pick	42cpaid	+117.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94ae…d801backed No	21c	80$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.6	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed No	25c	80$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001e…8dfabacked No	28c	80$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.72per pick	28cpaid	+260.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed No	19c	78.95$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.95	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+16.6wins	+0.16per pick	43cpaid	+48%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7eec…107fbacked No	77c	71.43$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.43	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	29c	68.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	857	25.2%216 W · 641 L	-115.1wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed No	24c	59.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.59	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd94d…e6cfbacked Yes	43c	58.61$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	78c	57$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.46	865	42.3%366 W · 499 L	-3.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed No	24c	50$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd324…b23cbacked No	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	149	44.3%66 W · 83 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd52b…5c72backed No	46c	49.8$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.89	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40c2…b2fcbacked No	72c	45$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.62	105	58.1%61 W · 44 L	+7.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed No	54c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	66	31.8%21 W · 45 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed No	65c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2c…64f0backed No	33c	39.26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.32	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+4.1wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf33…1e17backed No	53c	39$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9506…c548backed No	31c	38.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.46	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…1e25backed Yes	79c	38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.79per pick	79cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes	42c	38$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	+11.5wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdf7…1a02backed No	76c	36.99$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c9…1c13backed No	75c	35$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.75	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7010…eedebacked No	63c	31.93$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.93	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+4.2wins	+0.21per pick	34cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60a8…7d37backed No	45c	31.2$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.15	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+9.7wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df8…a05cbacked Yes	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.29	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?this page
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event