Middle East · resolved market

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce57adc3608d8fa3fb64aaaa462f5fc9530ebbbaf1e1e73c20399dfa5680ecf6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $104,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $94,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,313 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	19c	5,010$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.31	223	33.6%75 W · 148 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1940…0ea1backed Yes	11c	4,382$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.97	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes	5c	3,769$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes	19c	2,436$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.74	362	27.9%101 W · 261 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209a…3c5bbacked Yes	9c	2,273$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	10c	2,005$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.16	359	21.4%77 W · 282 L	-23.8wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	1,451$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	17c	1,388$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.15	217	26.7%58 W · 159 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x853c…bd03backed No	24c	1,200$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.8	134	41.8%56 W · 78 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	15c	1,033$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.31	288	27.8%80 W · 208 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb13…2de9backed Yes	10c	1,006$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	25c	1,005$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.69	181	35.9%65 W · 116 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes	61c	995.91$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.61	296	53.7%159 W · 137 L	+20.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+104.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed Yes	20c	937$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.02	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	+19.6wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	8c	918.4$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.46	423	11.6%49 W · 374 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7447…a16dbacked Yes	18c	902.64$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.16	161	25.5%41 W · 120 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc040…beacbacked No	14c	803.84$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.1	165	26.1%43 W · 122 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No	18c	800$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656	264	29.2%77 W · 187 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ca7abacked No	42c	776.55$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.37	306	49%150 W · 156 L	+77.8wins	+0.25per pick	24cpaid	+105.8%equal weight	76+0.24 edge/pick
0xaf23…aa95backed No	78c	716.35$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.22	120	54.2%65 W · 55 L	+10.7wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	686.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	507	1.4%7 W · 500 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes	12c	677.11$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.28	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6519…611bbacked Yes	42c	675.54$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No	31c	648.32$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.52	421	20.9%88 W · 333 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	2c	604.76$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.15	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2712…eb71backed No	23c	561.54$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.59	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+9.6wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	18c	487.95$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.83	112	8.9%10 W · 102 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	+149.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No	75c	476$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.24	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+94.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e0f…9556backed Yes	57c	466$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.42	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Yes	19c	396.89$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed No	57c	378.52$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.51	312	41.7%130 W · 182 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3825…04e8backed Yes	26c	365$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.39	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	9c	352.23$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.18	103	9.7%10 W · 93 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x096a…269dbacked Yes	28c	351.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes	29c	344.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	38cpaid	+122.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf114…8003backed Yes	18c	335.01$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.11	85	15.3%13 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd416…d9e2backed No	72c	331.07$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.55	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b44…264ebacked No	36c	329.7$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.75	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+9.7wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+156.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0443…2221backed Yes	66c	329.67$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.58	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a9…5a71backed Yes	43c	319.67$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.46	382	37.7%144 W · 238 L	+16.4wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe65f…9352backed Yes	25c	319.15$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.18	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2733…5ae8backed Yes	27c	318.55$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.73	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9362…d4a4backed Yes	18c	311.08$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.99	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	126	38.1%48 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	16c	263.51$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.61	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	7c	260.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa28e…b220backed Yes	28c	250$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.1	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	274	2.9%8 W · 266 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb1…acc2backed No	36c	250$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	33cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d6…303abacked Yes	41c	245.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	8c	238.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	678	41.6%282 W · 396 L	-20.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed Yes	16c	224.48$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.92	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x233b…1f2cbacked No	52c	209.89$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.93	102	40.2%41 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes	70c	202$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.38	253	39.5%100 W · 153 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c58…13b9backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc91b…93bdbacked Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10db…9845backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.43per pick	32cpaid	+159.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	161	31.7%51 W · 110 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb355…f149backed No	57c	200$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc83…bcd2backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc2f…10c7backed No	77c	191.34$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.37	356	31.7%113 W · 243 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0002…56c9backed Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	21c	180$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.2	124	32.3%40 W · 84 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8018…edb3backed Yes	13c	180$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.39per pick	36cpaid	+76%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No	40c	163.96$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.33	366	26.8%98 W · 268 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed Yes	44c	143.15$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.24	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-34%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x05df…882dbacked No	78c	136.05$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.57	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	75c	134.5$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.66	857	25.2%216 W · 641 L	-115.1wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6f36…89cabacked Yes	35c	129.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.4	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+8.4wins	+0.15per pick	27cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x20b3…d24cbacked No	62c	124$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.69	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	27c	120.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.03	153	47.1%72 W · 81 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7076…586dbacked Yes	13c	120.55$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-4.4wins	-0.34per pick	57cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d48…678cbacked Yes	61c	120$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No	42c	118.66$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.66	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd91…6262backed Yes	18c	115.05$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.55	147	15%22 W · 125 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked Yes	13c	115$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	18c	111.8$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.55	122	23%28 W · 94 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf058…e173backed Yes	22c	109.09$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	159	6.9%11 W · 148 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes	64c	104.89$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.62	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No	21c	104$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.16	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed No	70c	100.36$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.36	72	29.2%21 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	247	12.1%30 W · 217 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb98…1a90backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+3.8wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa619…1103backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aac…a718backed Yes	68c	99.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.99	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+109.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes	34c	97.08$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.03	131	6.1%8 W · 123 L	-10.4wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No	20c	97$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.71	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3054…1282backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2434…05eabacked Yes	44c	93.17$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.99	63	27%17 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x738a…5996backed Yes	22c	92.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	54.3%51 W · 43 L	+12.6wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+52.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed No	70c	80.76$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.23	118	42.4%50 W · 68 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed No	28c	80$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.2	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed No	33c	78.55$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.57	382	47.6%182 W · 200 L	+37.1wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed No	55c	75.89$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.52	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08eb…9ca4backed No	68c	73.02$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.27	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+6.5wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e4f…a849backed Yes	73c	72.94$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.03	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed Yes	70c	72.7$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.89	353	47%166 W · 187 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5255…6e58backed No	74c	68.16$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.89	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x389a…397dbacked No	79c	64.26$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.26	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?this page
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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