TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuning 2: Alastair Gray vs Alexandr Binda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexandr Bindaof Alastair Gray, Alexandr Binda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Alastair Gray5c11,305$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.768,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alexandr Binda50c2,144$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.84,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Alexandr Binda60c1,843$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.751,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alexandr Binda19c1,496$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.453,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Alexandr Binda19c1,088$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.2597745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Alastair Gray12c1,080$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7762140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Alastair Gray49c961.19$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.984,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alexandr Binda31c854.43$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.14,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alexandr Binda46c754.81$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.795,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Alastair Gray35c609.01$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0665346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Alexandr Binda18c537.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.6158232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Alexandr Binda20c527.11$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.558734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Alastair Gray57c516.2$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2619443.3%84 W · 110 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Alastair Gray79c506.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Alastair Gray57c444.79$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5565952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alastair Gray31c387.52$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.63,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Alastair Gray64c308.32$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2884968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Alexandr Binda20c298.68$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9458639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexandr Binda54c294.74$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.157,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f8…7bb0backed Alastair Gray45c287.36$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.711573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Alexandr Binda61c274.38$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.062,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alexandr Binda34c266.75$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4350644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Alexandr Binda46c255.44$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5292352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Alexandr Binda19c212.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.510249%50 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Alexandr Binda78c208.39$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.852564%16 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cc…275cbacked Alexandr Binda23c207.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.667732.5%25 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Alastair Gray80c203.78$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0252155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Alexandr Binda73c202.15$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5837071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alexandr Binda34c189.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Alastair Gray27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.811,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Alastair Gray49c175.81$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2260355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Alastair Gray49c175.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2150156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Alastair Gray47c166.18$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8612359.3%73 W · 50 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Alexandr Binda60c165.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.933,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Alastair Gray48c165.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.81,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Alastair Gray47c159.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3629652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alexandr Binda47c156.18$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.066,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Alastair Gray48c153.37$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.21,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Alexandr Binda20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12086835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Alastair Gray58c144.84$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.081,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Alexandr Binda39c144.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4240548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Alastair Gray80c142.03$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6235268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Alastair Gray60c140.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9318459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Alastair Gray43c126.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.662,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc060…8956backed Alastair Gray80c123.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.87353.4%39 W · 34 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc662…b919backed Alastair Gray80c123.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Alastair Gray80c123.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.852460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Alastair Gray60c121.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5948453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Alastair Gray75c120$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.484,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Alastair Gray57c119.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7176853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Alastair Gray33c118.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4965264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Alastair Gray57c116.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0430555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Alastair Gray80c110.66$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5289364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb883…3994backed Alexandr Binda56c107.16$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6421549.8%107 W · 108 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Alastair Gray32c105.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0556817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Alexandr Binda18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Alastair Gray79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Alexandr Binda22c99.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.981,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Alastair Gray80c98.8$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.049257.6%53 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Alastair Gray48c92.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9431366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Alexandr Binda76c88.68$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6334761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alexandr Binda76c88.6$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.224,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alastair Gray35c88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.514,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Alastair Gray80c86.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1616560%99 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Alastair Gray50c76.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2738754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Alastair Gray78c74.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3460856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Alexandr Binda19c69.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4732247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…8d48backed Alexandr Binda21c68.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.791060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Alastair Gray79c67.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.71,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked Alastair Gray75c65.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2312361.8%76 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Alexandr Binda72c60.26$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6356754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Alexandr Binda76c60.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5441658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Alexandr Binda55c57.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9445051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Alexandr Binda19c56.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.471,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Alastair Gray20c55.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9911331%35 W · 78 L-11.2wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Alastair Gray48c54.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4419052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Alexandr Binda73c52.34$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1491880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Alexandr Binda20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Alastair Gray80c49.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.522,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Alexandr Binda49c47.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1961752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alastair Gray41c45.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.723,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Alexandr Binda66c44.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4348552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Alexandr Binda31c43.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.963928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcf…f174backed Alastair Gray60c42.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.379351.6%48 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Alastair Gray48c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.225751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Alexandr Binda68c36.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8557267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f79…adddbacked Alastair Gray70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515374.5%114 W · 39 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Alastair Gray75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc194…4dafbacked Alastair Gray80c31.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.39425%1 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick77cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Alastair Gray80c31.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Alastair Gray80c22.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.942339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Alastair Gray67c20.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8236657.7%211 W · 155 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Alexandr Binda75c15.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9432043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfb…63f6backed Alastair Gray77c13.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.538754%47 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.