Middle East · resolved market
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17c51c52caf554ca5337fb1391dae64e2b9dda236ff5725e27191faae96e1b83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,098$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…c0f5backed Yes | 28c | 1,866$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,619$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 9c | 997.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 10c | 749.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 26c | 746.39$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 691$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…cf39backed Yes | 16c | 654.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 11c | 592.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…bca8backed No | 66c | 585.51$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 33c | 518$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 5c | 471.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 16c | 445$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 7c | 443$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…2f54backed Yes | 39c | 413.51$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 387.81$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 350$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…7459backed Yes | 14c | 283.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 20cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…7bc6backed Yes | 8c | 244.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 44c | 226.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 40c | 213.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c07…0c57backed Yes | 7c | 212.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 75c | 201.49$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 198.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…ddcdbacked Yes | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5cf0backed Yes | 37c | 179.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…9240backed No | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d4a1backed No | 67c | 149.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +1,401.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 9c | 141.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 10c | 140.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 77c | 138.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 68c | 135$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 18c | 133.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed Yes | 42c | 130.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…6cb6backed No | 57c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 112.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked Yes | 40c | 100.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…3babbacked Yes | 35c | 85.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 75c | 82.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 18c | 80.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 36c | 79.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 67c | 69.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…f9eabacked Yes | 60c | 65.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 69c | 35.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 40c | 34.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8581backed No | 60c | 33.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2abf…72d5backed Yes | 38c | 31.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 70c | 29.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?this page
- Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.