Middle East · resolved market
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8094e49053b7b8db7e434a0703db67b12d85e40335950afec12ed995f0fc8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 11c | 1,799$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 1,392$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 16c | 1,204$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 4c | 929.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 24c | 880$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 26c | 869.48$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 6c | 827.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…f9eabacked Yes | 74c | 621.99$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 8c | 525.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 7c | 460.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 7c | 441.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…cf39backed No | 13c | 401.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…1a95backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 10c | 378$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…2f54backed No | 39c | 336.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…ecb4backed Yes | 69c | 266.72$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 39c | 265.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 5c | 249.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 20c | 237$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked No | 8c | 233.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…1f06backed Yes | 77c | 225$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 8c | 222.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…bca8backed Yes | 64c | 221.57$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 35c | 200.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 200.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…5abfbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 27c | 191.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…039fbacked Yes | 64c | 190.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 189.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28cb…cdcfbacked Yes | 60c | 166.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…5a38backed Yes | 50c | 166.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 10c | 163$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 12c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…4197backed Yes | 68c | 147.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +6.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…00c4backed Yes | 68c | 147.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 117.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…c24ebacked Yes | 70c | 115.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 9c | 113.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 59c | 108$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 16c | 107.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…ee8abacked Yes | 61c | 106.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…7b96backed Yes | 69c | 100.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +83%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…50c7backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 16c | 96.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 16c | 92.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 23c | 82.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8581backed Yes | 60c | 79.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 36c | 79.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 37c | 67.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 26c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…6b1dbacked Yes | 63c | 65.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…36e8backed Yes | 64c | 59.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 24c | 59.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 58c | 59.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 24c | 51.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…752abacked Yes | 71c | 51.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…8fafbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…5f67backed Yes | 64c | 46.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 27c | 42.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 72c | 41.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4864…c077backed Yes | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…bbd8backed No | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 32c | 34.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…6e05backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…27ebbacked Yes | 62c | 30.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…2688backed Yes | 67c | 29.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…09dbbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 40c | 27.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0602…76bbbacked Yes | 62c | 21.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…1b8ebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?this page
- Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.