Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad2262f40736d8d46715fd68cc42188c8bf3955a01d2efa92018da01a76a53fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 74c | 5,328$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.13 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,107$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…86a1backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…5203backed No | 68c | 1,854$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.67 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…12a4backed Yes | 33c | 1,824$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.7 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…55b0backed Yes | 31c | 1,593$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 65c | 1,316$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.66 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…25d6backed Yes | 17c | 1,194$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…f91fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 79c | 799.98$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…34cdbacked Yes | 28c | 773.13$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…8961backed Yes | 36c | 750$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…22a3backed No | 72c | 749.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 27c | 731.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 63c | 697.5$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.47 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5386…f618backed Yes | 2c | 610.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 26c | 548.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 69c | 541.48$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 526.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…e21ebacked Yes | 37c | 520.43$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…b246backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc544…3bfdbacked Yes | 43c | 465.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…acd4backed Yes | 39c | 454.2$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…6943backed Yes | 45c | 448.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…634abacked Yes | 39c | 431.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 7c | 420$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Yes | 29c | 400.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…1209backed Yes | 50c | 400.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…f471backed Yes | 34c | 393.8$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 62c | 376.64$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.28 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 21c | 361.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 66c | 320.14$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 56c | 308.33$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 65c | 283.17$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e3…a9debacked No | 71c | 282.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes | 46c | 270$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 68c | 256$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…b534backed Yes | 6c | 238.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…0f94backed Yes | 20c | 221.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed Yes | 6c | 220.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda7d…0d3fbacked Yes | 49c | 203.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 76c | 202.85$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…af65backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 9c | 198.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…8e4abacked Yes | 28c | 193.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f13…d602backed Yes | 8c | 191.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 34cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Yes | 26c | 182.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…afa8backed Yes | 24c | 179.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…db11backed Yes | 47c | 171.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 12c | 155$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Yes | 22c | 148.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 25c | 145.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ac…5feabacked Yes | 28c | 141.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…e128backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…18e7backed Yes | 15c | 126.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…6bfdbacked No | 69c | 122.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 11c | 121.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…8380backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 70c | 113$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked No | 74c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 33c | 105.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 74c | 104.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 69c | 104.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…19e1backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 25c | 102.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…4e3abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbd…5900backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…3cd1backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…224dbacked Yes | 30c | 98.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dc…b433backed Yes | 16c | 96.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…3664backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -53%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 45c | 95.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1564…6597backed Yes | 32c | 94.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…416cbacked No | 50c | 93.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aac…b5e3backed Yes | 32c | 92.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…4288backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 18c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…41d7backed No | 64c | 89.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f6…2659backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…6d06backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f52abacked Yes | 19c | 84.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 60c | 83.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…663abacked Yes | 31c | 81.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d4…3ceabacked Yes | 14c | 73.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…fde1backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1964…5e04backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…4cf4backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…aa93backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 64c | 66.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 67c | 66.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…028ebacked Yes | 23c | 65.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…00a4backed No | 67c | 65.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…9919backed Yes | 32c | 63.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79c…f6c6backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.