TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb9f…fde1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$119.82
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.89
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+62.6%+$125.28
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+73.6%+$220.69
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.37
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.43
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.4%+$76.73
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65.46
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+32.8%+$32.78
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.7%+$26.72
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Penguins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$12.83
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$166.17
Sabres vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$224.3
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$66.09
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.84
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+34%+$265.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$135
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: DN Freecs vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO1)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$800
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Upstate Spartans vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked USC Upstate Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.