TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Yes42c34,782$14,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,069.5985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c12,849$7,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,347.22,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No59c7,000$4,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,136.7519253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c5,932$4,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.66,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c4,335$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.862,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No25c3,389$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.711,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No57c1,963$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.5679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c1,808$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.114,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No57c1,737$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.821,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c1,444$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.092,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34213662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34233057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No21c574.17$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2111727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes41c510.08$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.083650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No61c444.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No61c400$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24330149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22839948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes31c371.79$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.799134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4261441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18344036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes41c300$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8822229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c281.69$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.391,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes41c268.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes39c253.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.858229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd962…1d5cbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes36c228.21$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2128531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No17c226$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1667042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014636.3%53 W · 93 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c173$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No23c170$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.196645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…fde1backed No61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No15c158.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4729041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.525127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x728a…a75cbacked No61c149.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed No60c136$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.62152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2132737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked No13c126.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No13c126.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.224843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes37c115.12$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5342048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes13c100$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8732822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed No62c95.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5959645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No57c84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No57c84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No57c84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8837557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f3…0fbabacked Yes37c79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.77825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No62c75.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.26456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No19c73.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8720931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4329735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes40c70.04$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.027540%30 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked No60c69.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No57c66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6237554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No57c66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6235157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No57c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.229259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No57c56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.288742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed No23c43.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.097655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes31c43.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.741,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.811866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4729644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No57c38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6625553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No58c36.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.021,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5227354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No63c34.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9915353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3826158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3830554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3826058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No57c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3828255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fdb…af5cbacked Yes40c33.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x381d…818cbacked No60c32.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No57c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed No63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No63c31.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.813045.4%59 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked No60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.136758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.132755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No67c29.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8742324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked No60c26.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No58c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0852060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No76c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1973258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a3f…38e4backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f69…ef5fbacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No57c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No57c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6826958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No57c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No57c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6829057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked No60c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.