TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c113,526$54,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,492.6122443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over52c94,000$48,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,1204242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Over52c77,160$40,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,688.42458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Under48c25,611$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,399.6611052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c16,481$7,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,735.22,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed Under49c15,001$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,300.371735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over52c14,038$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,738.3622550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c8,524$4,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.912,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Under49c4,087$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c3,907$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.962,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c3,446$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under48c3,317$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.6712047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c2,365$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.0393953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c2,365$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.571,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Over49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.7127548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c1,854$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.5179350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Over51c1,636$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.310056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under46c1,500$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69532650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over52c1,391$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.2991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Over53c1,055$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.365856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under48c1,010$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.883641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3228…afbbbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeec…9912backed Under48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c741.18$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.11,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c735.96$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2656152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde71…01d9backed Under48c640$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2763,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2224…85cebacked Under53c535.35$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed Under51c535.29$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+58%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over50c503.21$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6186649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23553337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under47c444$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6849546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c416.63$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.989150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over52c407.04$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.385547.3%26 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under49c347.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1713954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over52c326.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.921,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13826547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Under31c297.39$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.192343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over69c294.19$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.22,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under48c290.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5662346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x877a…7de2backed Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.024953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c278.55$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.812,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Under47c265$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5520147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over52c260$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8811435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Over54c259.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2611747%55 W · 62 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2811557.4%66 W · 49 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.210438.5%40 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.113548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c208.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8760741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under48c207.29$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.55560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Under48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under47c165$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.555052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Under49c164.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over52c163.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0116447.6%78 W · 86 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under47c160.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5218551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under48c155$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.43455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over53c150$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.510858.3%63 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under48c149.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4945756.2%257 W · 200 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Under47c144.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.244245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under9c134.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0833735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under47c132$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.046165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Under48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.294240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under47c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.355060%30 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Under47c104.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.576162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0674…2034backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over54c101.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.279149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4622443.3%97 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4741847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…8d4cbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under47c98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.065549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under47c94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.184860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under47c93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.716150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under47c93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.714557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over52c91.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.821,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under47c89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.834143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8286852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Under46c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.512445.2%56 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under47c72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.844557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x575f…7febbacked Under53c58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.741540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under49c53.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.993647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed Over53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07a4…be3abacked Over53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259159.3%54 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.56759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under50c49.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6315349%75 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over53c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.032867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under49c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5455048.2%265 W · 285 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Over53c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.151450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.154967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under48c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4815447.4%73 W · 81 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.