Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f9ab35c97b42488c988340e66827fb75d1d85d5872a8946d1baf302688fe14c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,246,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,403,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,246,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 19c | 97,716$18,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,201.55 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 12c | 90,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 12c | 70,497$8,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,459.62 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 12c | 63,670$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 12c | 37,290$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 12c | 34,407$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.82 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 12c | 34,231$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.72 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 33,316$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.02 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 12c | 28,792$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 11c | 23,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.96 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 17c | 20,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 12c | 19,210$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.2 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 11c | 16,830$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 12c | 15,004$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.62 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 12c | 13,468$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.16 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 12c | 9,677$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.24 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 12c | 9,382$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.84 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ef…6f22backed No | 1c | 9,214$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 7,129$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.67 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked No | 13c | 6,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 12c | 5,896$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.57 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 12c | 5,825$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 12c | 5,250$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 12c | 5,079$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.47 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 12c | 5,040$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…e5f7backed No | 12c | 4,839$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 12c | 4,402$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.09 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 12c | 4,100$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…2963backed No | 12c | 4,091$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 12c | 3,599$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.34 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 12c | 3,266$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.48 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 13c | 3,254$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.97 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 16c | 3,241$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.32 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 75c | 3,200$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 12c | 3,162$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 2,963$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.69 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 2,910$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 12c | 2,825$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked No | 2c | 2,824$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed No | 12c | 2,823$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.01 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 12c | 2,392$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 14c | 2,360$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 15c | 2,157$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 16c | 1,821$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.38 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…c232backed No | 13c | 1,695$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 12c | 1,519$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 11c | 1,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…48e1backed No | 12c | 1,329$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed No | 12c | 1,217$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,189$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed No | 21c | 1,186$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 4c | 1,146$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 12c | 1,116$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 11c | 1,100$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 11c | 999.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 12c | 973.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed No | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 12c | 816.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 12c | 798$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 10c | 782.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 80c | 700$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked No | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 12c | 676.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…edf2backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b3…6193backed Yes | 77c | 600$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 12c | 595.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 11c | 579.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked No | 9c | 463.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…e2a2backed No | 13c | 463$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 7c | 462.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed No | 11c | 458.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 73c | 456.16$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 17c | 421.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…6c0bbacked No | 12c | 414.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -67%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed No | 12c | 409.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 12c | 404.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed No | 5c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…fde1backed No | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d97…a92dbacked Yes | 75c | 378.12$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…1e9ebacked Yes | 78c | 372.29$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 356.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 12c | 352.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed No | 12c | 334$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed No | 12c | 325$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 7c | 313.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…e114backed No | 13c | 307$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?No won
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.