TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over62c82,969$51,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,559.911338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c19,971$7,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,471.493,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under38c11,985$4,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,591.1184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8008245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under38c9,600$3,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,64833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c5,794$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.592,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under38c3,521$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.8933847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1405545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1407143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under38c1,848$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.2935158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under38c1,823$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.87040%28 W · 42 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30419027.4%52 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2285738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under39c600$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23219546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under39c573.21$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.553132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under18c520.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2942844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under38c420$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.614252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under38c420$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.612948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under38c420$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.68444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15224655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under38c359.26$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.528660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under38c333.71$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.814459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under38c330$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.49037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under38c330$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.48046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under41c309.76$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11413650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c258.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under32c247.41$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.172250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over61c240.84$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.93757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4338…648ebacked Under38c239.95$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c217.72$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under39c217.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5113920.1%28 W · 111 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over71c193$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.973844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under38c190$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.26446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under38c180$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.48056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under39c172.37$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over64c171.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.582850%14 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.66349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.67544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.67248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.66350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.66448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.67244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.67647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over59c169.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.052045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over60c168$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.218049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under38c160$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.88551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba77…da86backed Over60c158.89$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…fde1backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.59142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5de1…35f3backed Over63c140.81$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under8c139.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.356556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over59c135.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.723855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c135.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over60c123.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2412258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.67847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.68052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.68146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.67754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.68048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.68057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.68755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under38c111$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.184647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.44822.9%11 W · 37 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under38c109.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.411643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384450%22 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e0…df45backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.295042%21 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7526647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.47848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.463857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Over60c79.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.981172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbecc…6e99backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over60c76.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.175242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under38c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.69450%47 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5723949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Under31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cc0…c74abacked Over63c63.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Over64c62.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.87748.1%37 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.87949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.