Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92c3aaa59360e0eddb6763e896f14d460ff471ed098d0ecd777924f230694214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGC Niceof OGC Nice, Go Ahead Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Go Ahead Eagles | 68c | 3,759$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.64 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked OGC Nice | 26c | 1,367$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.3 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed OGC Nice | 36c | 1,203$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.94 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked OGC Nice | 26c | 960$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Go Ahead Eagles | 74c | 700$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Go Ahead Eagles | 74c | 567$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed OGC Nice | 27c | 470.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.5 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked OGC Nice | 29c | 228.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.08 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked OGC Nice | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked OGC Nice | 27c | 160.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked OGC Nice | 27c | 160.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed OGC Nice | 26c | 160$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Go Ahead Eagles | 74c | 80.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed OGC Nice | 26c | 80.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked OGC Nice | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked OGC Nice | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed OGC Nice | 40c | 57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Go Ahead Eagles | 74c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked OGC Nice | 26c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Go Ahead Eagles | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed OGC Nice | 35c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked OGC Nice | 63c | 37.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 74c | 34.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Go Ahead Eagles | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked OGC Nice | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Go Ahead Eagles | 74c | 26.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Go Ahead Eagles | 74c | 18.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed OGC Nice | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Go Ahead Eagles | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Go Ahead Eagles | 74c | 16.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)this page
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.